Ocugen Valuation
Is OCGN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of OCGN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: OCGN * (MX$19.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$801.98)
Significantly Below Fair Value: OCGN * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCGN *?
Key metric: As OCGN * barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
What is OCGN *'s PB Ratio? | |
---|---|
PB Ratio | 6.5x |
Book | US$40.63m |
Market Cap | US$264.34m |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 49.5x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -4.6x |
PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does OCGN *'s PB Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 3.3x | ||
ADAP Adaptimmune Therapeutics | 2.1x | -12.3% | US$162.8m |
6875 Pharmosa Biopharm | 3.9x | n/a | NT$7.3b |
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies | 5.7x | -0.4% | US$506.2m |
ARTV Artiva Biotherapeutics | 1.4x | -20.6% | US$264.1m |
OCGN * Ocugen | 6.5x | 47.9% | Mex$264.3m |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: OCGN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Industry
How does OCGN *'s PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Biotechs Industry?
86 Companies | Price / Book | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
86 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Book vs Industry: OCGN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (6.5x) compared to the Global Biotechs industry average (2.3x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is OCGN *'s PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PB Ratio | 6.5x |
Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OCGN *'s Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$19.35 | Mex$126.97 +556.2% | 23.7% | Mex$162.52 | Mex$81.26 | n/a | 4 |
Nov ’25 | Mex$18.50 | Mex$125.54 +578.6% | 23.7% | Mex$160.69 | Mex$80.35 | n/a | 4 |
Oct ’25 | Mex$19.99 | Mex$131.84 +559.5% | 11.7% | Mex$150.67 | Mex$113.01 | n/a | 3 |
Sep ’25 | Mex$26.00 | Mex$131.84 +407.1% | 11.7% | Mex$150.67 | Mex$113.01 | n/a | 3 |
Aug ’25 | Mex$24.55 | Mex$114.23 +365.3% | 18.7% | Mex$137.08 | Mex$85.68 | n/a | 3 |
Jul ’25 | Mex$29.00 | Mex$114.23 +293.9% | 18.7% | Mex$137.08 | Mex$85.68 | n/a | 3 |
Jun ’25 | Mex$28.00 | Mex$114.23 +308.0% | 18.7% | Mex$137.08 | Mex$85.68 | n/a | 3 |
May ’25 | Mex$23.01 | Mex$114.23 +396.5% | 18.7% | Mex$137.08 | Mex$85.68 | n/a | 3 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$27.60 | Mex$108.92 +294.6% | 26.8% | Mex$137.58 | Mex$68.79 | n/a | 3 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$15.98 | Mex$108.92 +581.6% | 26.8% | Mex$137.58 | Mex$68.79 | n/a | 3 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$9.90 | Mex$91.47 +823.9% | 23.4% | Mex$120.06 | Mex$68.60 | n/a | 3 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$10.00 | Mex$67.04 +570.4% | 30.6% | Mex$83.80 | Mex$33.52 | n/a | 4 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$67.04 0% | 30.6% | Mex$83.80 | Mex$33.52 | n/a | 4 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$67.04 0% | 30.6% | Mex$83.80 | Mex$33.52 | Mex$18.50 | 4 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$7.22 | Mex$67.04 +828.5% | 30.6% | Mex$83.80 | Mex$33.52 | Mex$19.99 | 4 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$7.50 | Mex$67.04 +793.9% | 30.6% | Mex$83.80 | Mex$33.52 | Mex$26.00 | 4 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$10.05 | Mex$81.60 +711.9% | 39.0% | Mex$142.42 | Mex$44.51 | Mex$24.55 | 6 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$9.00 | Mex$81.60 +806.6% | 39.0% | Mex$142.42 | Mex$44.51 | Mex$29.00 | 6 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$8.00 | Mex$81.60 +919.9% | 39.0% | Mex$142.42 | Mex$44.51 | Mex$28.00 | 6 |
May ’24 | Mex$13.50 | Mex$87.50 +548.1% | 33.1% | Mex$144.82 | Mex$54.31 | Mex$23.01 | 6 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$17.00 | Mex$87.50 +414.7% | 33.1% | Mex$144.82 | Mex$54.31 | Mex$27.60 | 6 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$18.50 | Mex$87.50 +373.0% | 33.1% | Mex$144.82 | Mex$54.31 | Mex$15.98 | 6 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$23.40 | Mex$104.44 +346.3% | 26.3% | Mex$156.66 | Mex$68.54 | Mex$9.90 | 6 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$104.44 0% | 26.3% | Mex$156.66 | Mex$68.54 | Mex$10.00 | 6 |
Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$104.44 0% | 26.3% | Mex$156.66 | Mex$68.54 | n/a | 6 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$35.00 | Mex$117.68 +236.2% | 29.1% | Mex$161.39 | Mex$70.61 | n/a | 6 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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