Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc.

BMV:ITCI * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$184.4b

Intra-Cellular Therapies Valuation

Is ITCI * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ITCI * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ITCI * (MX$1683.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$7841.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ITCI * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ITCI *?

Key metric: As ITCI * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ITCI *. This is calculated by dividing ITCI *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is ITCI *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio14.9x
SalesUS$613.73m
Market CapUS$9.12b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ITCI *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ITCI * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.4x
LAB B Genomma Lab Internacional. de
1.4x9.7%Mex$24.4b
688578 Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals
8.6x17.0%CN¥27.5b
000999 China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical
2.2x9.5%CN¥57.9b
688506 Sichuan Biokin PharmaceuticalLtd
13.4x-36.8%CN¥78.2b
ITCI * Intra-Cellular Therapies
14.9x32.9%Mex$9.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ITCI * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ITCI *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Pharmaceuticals Industry?

186 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies186PS02.44.87.29.612+
186 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ITCI * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.9x) compared to the Global Pharmaceuticals industry average (2.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ITCI *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ITCI * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio14.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ITCI *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ITCI * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$2,085.30
0%
11.7%Mex$2,719.95Mex$1,752.86n/a14
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$2,049.26
0%
12.9%Mex$2,715.81Mex$1,589.25n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$2,017.61
0%
14.4%Mex$2,702.16Mex$1,581.26n/a15
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,915.94
0%
14.5%Mex$2,590.90Mex$1,474.82n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$1,827.53
0%
16.5%Mex$2,513.17Mex$1,314.58n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,706.03
0%
15.4%Mex$2,181.00Mex$1,181.38n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,684.99
0%
15.5%Mex$2,195.46Mex$1,189.21n/a16
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,531.31
0%
15.0%Mex$2,028.25Mex$1,098.64n/a16
May ’25Mex$1,251.41
Mex$1,531.51
+22.4%
15.0%Mex$2,035.66Mex$1,102.65n/a17
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$1,402.55
0%
11.7%Mex$1,704.57Mex$1,097.00n/a17
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,424.62
0%
12.1%Mex$1,728.92Mex$1,112.67n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,383.40
0%
14.4%Mex$1,737.60Mex$1,015.04n/a16
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,325.24
0%
16.5%Mex$1,724.00Mex$990.02n/a15
Dec ’24Mex$1,020.67
Mex$1,354.13
+32.7%
17.6%Mex$1,763.86Mex$1,012.91n/a13
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,398.45
0%
16.4%Mex$1,805.35Mex$1,065.16n/a13
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$1,344.84
0%
16.2%Mex$1,709.54Mex$1,008.63n/a12
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,344.84
0%
16.2%Mex$1,709.54Mex$1,008.63n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$1,316.24
0%
14.8%Mex$1,659.05Mex$998.82n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,318.20
0%
15.7%Mex$1,677.71Mex$992.93n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$1,336.57
0%
16.8%Mex$1,744.66Mex$1,032.56n/a13
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,320.56
0%
16.6%Mex$1,761.67Mex$1,006.67Mex$1,251.4113
Apr ’24Mex$1,016.00
Mex$1,285.04
+26.5%
18.3%Mex$1,773.71Mex$1,013.55n/a13
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,265.81
0%
17.1%Mex$1,683.57Mex$959.45n/a13
Feb ’24Mex$897.09
Mex$1,313.84
+46.5%
17.1%Mex$1,745.54Mex$1,013.54n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,340.67
0%
17.6%Mex$1,815.09Mex$975.86n/a13
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,340.67
0%
17.6%Mex$1,815.09Mex$975.86Mex$1,020.6713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 13:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Joel BeattyBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Jason Matthew GerberryBofA Global Research