Stock Analysis

Does Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:MEGACPO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BMV:MEGA CPO
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:MEGACPO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V Carry?

As you can see below, Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V had Mex$24.8b of debt, at March 2025, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had Mex$4.59b in cash, and so its net debt is Mex$20.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:MEGA CPO Debt to Equity History June 30th 2025

How Strong Is Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V had liabilities of Mex$7.12b due within 12 months and liabilities of Mex$30.5b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$4.59b and Mex$4.14b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$28.9b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of Mex$44.9b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

Check out our latest analysis for Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.4 and interest cover of 2.6 times, it seems to us that Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Sadly, Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V's EBIT actually dropped 2.9% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BMV:MEGA CPO

Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V

Engages in the installation, operation, and maintenance of cable television, internet, and telephone signal distribution systems.

Reasonable growth potential average dividend payer.

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