Cinemark Holdings Valuation
Is CNK * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CNK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CNK * (MX$656) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$684.9)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CNK * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNK *?
Key metric: As CNK * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CNK *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 16.6x |
| Earnings | US$235.70m |
| Market Cap | US$3.92b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.2x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CNK *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 26.8x | ||
CIE B Corporación Interamericana de Entretenimiento. de | 9.8x | n/a | Mex$14.5b |
MEGA CPO Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V | 13.3x | 21.9% | Mex$33.5b |
300251 Beijing Enlight Media | 48.3x | 37.3% | CN¥24.6b |
4816 Toei AnimationLtd | 35.9x | 6.6% | JP¥752.5b |
CNK * Cinemark Holdings | 16.6x | 7.7% | Mex$3.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNK * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CNK *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Entertainment Industry?
| 25 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNK * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the Global Entertainment industry average (23.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CNK *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 16.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CNK *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$656.00 | Mex$657.76 +0.3% | 12.5% | Mex$724.14 | Mex$442.53 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$600.01 | Mex$663.04 +10.5% | 12.5% | Mex$729.96 | Mex$446.09 | n/a | 10 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$560.01 0% | 12.5% | Mex$630.02 | Mex$393.76 | n/a | 9 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$533.01 | Mex$530.00 -0.6% | 14.9% | Mex$601.83 | Mex$310.62 | n/a | 10 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$425.00 | Mex$451.90 +6.3% | 16.1% | Mex$525.03 | Mex$262.52 | n/a | 10 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$383.01 | Mex$395.85 +3.4% | 17.6% | Mex$478.70 | Mex$257.76 | n/a | 10 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$288.00 | Mex$351.09 +21.9% | 16.9% | Mex$421.99 | Mex$236.31 | n/a | 10 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$337.75 0% | 16.9% | Mex$409.39 | Mex$238.81 | n/a | 10 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$307.12 0% | 20.2% | Mex$409.49 | Mex$221.81 | n/a | 10 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$277.21 | Mex$307.12 +10.8% | 20.2% | Mex$409.49 | Mex$221.81 | n/a | 10 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$310.01 0% | 20.6% | Mex$413.34 | Mex$206.67 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$327.60 0% | 17.2% | Mex$407.38 | Mex$220.66 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$240.98 | Mex$350.74 +45.5% | 13.1% | Mex$416.73 | Mex$277.82 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$368.29 0% | 14.2% | Mex$433.28 | Mex$270.80 | Mex$600.01 | 10 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$297.00 | Mex$347.66 +17.1% | 14.3% | Mex$411.03 | Mex$239.77 | n/a | 10 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$336.16 0% | 16.8% | Mex$408.97 | Mex$238.56 | Mex$533.01 | 11 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$285.95 | Mex$310.80 +8.7% | 16.4% | Mex$384.51 | Mex$208.97 | Mex$425.00 | 11 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$273.92 | Mex$318.29 +16.2% | 14.9% | Mex$376.66 | Mex$214.01 | Mex$383.01 | 11 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$331.70 0% | 15.2% | Mex$390.61 | Mex$221.94 | Mex$288.00 | 11 |
| May ’24 | Mex$305.85 | Mex$313.07 +2.4% | 14.6% | Mex$377.64 | Mex$224.79 | n/a | 11 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$268.17 | Mex$275.64 +2.8% | 13.3% | Mex$330.77 | Mex$202.14 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$245.71 | Mex$275.64 +12.2% | 13.3% | Mex$330.77 | Mex$202.14 | Mex$277.21 | 11 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$230.76 | Mex$264.08 +14.4% | 18.0% | Mex$335.18 | Mex$167.59 | n/a | 11 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$167.00 | Mex$283.96 +70.0% | 17.8% | Mex$353.61 | Mex$176.80 | n/a | 11 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$258.00 | Mex$289.94 +12.4% | 22.2% | Mex$427.84 | Mex$175.02 | Mex$240.98 | 11 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$306.59 0% | 26.7% | Mex$436.44 | Mex$178.54 | n/a | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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