Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ORBIA) After Its Annual Report

It's been a good week for Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ORBIA) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest full-year results, and the shares gained 8.0% to Mex$15.82. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at US$7.5b, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Orbia Advance Corporation. de

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Orbia Advance Corporation. de from ten analysts is for revenues of US$7.91b in 2025. If met, it would imply a modest 5.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$0.077, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$7.94b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.085 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at Mex$33.47, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Orbia Advance Corporation. de at Mex$87.57 per share, while the most bearish prices it at Mex$16.08. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how analysts think this business will perform. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Orbia Advance Corporation. de's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 5.4% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.0% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.9% annually. Orbia Advance Corporation. de is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Orbia Advance Corporation. de going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Orbia Advance Corporation. de that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.