Declared Dividend • May 13
First quarter dividend of US$0.55 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.55. Ex-date: 30th June 2026 Payment date: 17th July 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (44% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (48% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 4.1% per year over the past 8 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 15% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 51% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range. Recent Insider Transactions • May 10
Non-Independent Director recently bought Mex$1.8m worth of stock On the 8th of May, Keith Martell bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,187 per share. This transaction amounted to 35% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$11m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. New Risk • May 08
New minor risk - Financial position The company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 47% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks High level of debt (47% net debt to equity). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$7.1m sold). Reported Earnings • May 08
First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: US$0.27 (vs US$0.022 in 1Q 2025) First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$0.27 (up from US$0.022 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$5.80b (up 19% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$131.0m (up US$120.0m from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 2.3% (up from 0.2% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 37% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • Apr 10
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 06, 2026 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 06, 2026 Upcoming Dividend • Mar 24
Upcoming dividend of US$0.55 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 31 March 2026. Payment date: 16 April 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 47% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.0%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.0%). Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 20
Insider recently sold Mex$7.1m worth of stock On the 11th of March, Christopher Reynolds sold around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,482 per share. This transaction amounted to 37% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$6.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months. New Risk • Mar 19
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.9% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.9% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$7.1m sold). Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 17
Insider recently sold Mex$7.1m worth of stock On the 11th of March, Christopher Reynolds sold around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,482 per share. This transaction amounted to 37% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$6.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 15
Insider recently sold Mex$7.1m worth of stock On the 11th of March, Christopher Reynolds sold around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,482 per share. This transaction amounted to 37% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$6.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months. New Risk • Mar 14
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 1.5% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 1.5% per year for the foreseeable future. Announcement • Feb 23
Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 06, 2026 Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 06, 2026. Declared Dividend • Feb 23
Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.55 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.55. Ex-date: 31st March 2026 Payment date: 16th April 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (47% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (53% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 4.1% per year over the past 8 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 5.2% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 48% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 19
Now 21% overvalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at Mex$1,228. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$1,017, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 64%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.3% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 2.4% per annum over the same time period. Board Change • Feb 11
Insufficient new directors There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 7 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Julie Lagacy was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. New Risk • Feb 04
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.5% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.5% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk High level of debt (49% net debt to equity). Board Change • Jan 26
Insufficient new directors There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 7 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Julie Lagacy was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Announcement • Jan 21
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 18, 2026 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Feb 18, 2026 Announcement • Dec 12
Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) completed the acquisition of 50% stake in PROFERTIL S.A. from Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR). Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) signed an agreement to acquire 50% stake in PROFERTIL S.A. from Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR) for approximately $600 million on September 8, 2025. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and is expected to be completed before the end of 2025.
Rabo Trading Argentina SA acted as financial advisor for Adecoagro S.A. BofA Securities, Inc. acted as financial advisor for Nutrien Ltd.
Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) completed the acquisition of 50% stake in PROFERTIL S.A. from Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR) on December 10, 2025. Announcement • Oct 07
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 05, 2025 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Nov 05, 2025 Announcement • Sep 09
Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) signed an agreement to acquire 50% stake in PROFERTIL S.A. from Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR) for approximately $600 million. Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) signed an agreement to acquire 50% stake in PROFERTIL S.A. from Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR) for approximately $600 million on September 8, 2025. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and is expected to be completed before the end of 2025.
Rabo Trading Argentina SA acted as financial advisor for Adecoagro S.A. BofA Securities, Inc. acted as financial advisor for Nutrien Ltd. Announcement • Jul 10
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2025 Announcement • Apr 16
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 07, 2025 Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 15
Independent Director recently bought Mex$2.1m worth of stock On the 11th of March, Julie Lagacy bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,034 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth Mex$9.4m. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$45m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 13
Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer recently bought Mex$2.0m worth of stock On the 5th of March, Christopher Reynolds bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,013 per share. This transaction amounted to 27% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth Mex$9.4m. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$43m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Declared Dividend • Mar 03
Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.55 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.55. Ex-date: 31st March 2025 Payment date: 10th April 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.0%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (158% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (77% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 4.5% per year over the past 7 years and payments have been stable during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 76% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 75% over the next 3 years, which should be enough to bring the dividend into a sustainable range. Recent Insider Transactions • Feb 25
Independent Director recently bought Mex$5.3m worth of stock On the 24th of February, Michael Hennigan bought around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,065 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth Mex$9.4m. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$39m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Announcement • Feb 24
Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 07, 2025 Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 07, 2025. Reported Earnings • Feb 21
Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.36 (vs US$2.53 in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: EPS: US$1.36 (down from US$2.53 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$25.0b (down 11% from FY 2023). Net income: US$674.0m (down 46% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.7% (down from 4.5% in FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.2% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 55% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 11% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • Feb 21
Nutrien Ltd. Provides Sales Volume Guidance for the Year 2024 Nutrien Ltd. provided sales volume guidance for the year 2024. For the year, the company expects Potash sales volume guidance of 13.6 to 14.4 million tonnes is consistent with the global shipments outlook and accounts for some uncertainty regarding the possible imposition and related impact of US tariffs, as well as global supply availability. Nitrogen sales volume guidance of 10.7 to 11.2 million tonnes assumes continued reliability improvements and higher operating rates at the North American plants. Phosphate sales volume guidance of 2.35 to 2.55 million tonnes assumes lower production at the White Springs facility in the first half of 2025 and improved operating rates in the second half compared to the prior year. Announcement • Feb 20
Nutrien Ltd. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 10, 2025 Nutrien Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of USD 0.545 per share payable on April 10, 2025 to shareholders of record on March 31, 2025. This represents an approximately 1% increase from the prior dividend declared on November 6, 2024 and equates to an annualized dividend of USD 2.18 per share. Announcement • Jan 31
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 19, 2025 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 19, 2025 Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 22
Insider recently bought Mex$1.8m worth of stock On the 18th of November, Andrew Kelemen bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly Mex$925 per share. This transaction amounted to 40% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth Mex$3.1m. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$23m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Announcement • Nov 12
Jarden Reportedly Tapped for Incitec Pivot Fertiliser Sale Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL)'s freshly appointed management has brought in a new investment bank to handle the sale of the distribution arm of its fertiliser business as looks to clear the decks and focus on its future as a mining explosives play. The move to break up the fertiliser unit and sell off the distribution arm was first flagged by DataRoom and announced when the company delivered its annual result on 11 November 2024. It came as the company wiped $941 million off the valuation of the Australian Incitec Pivot fertiliser division. The bank being added to the ticket is Jarden. The move comes as new boss Mauro Neves de Moraes takes over. UBS and Macquarie Capital have previously made efforts to sell the fertiliser business and Macquarie still has a role. This time, though, it appears that the group is motivated to move it off its books and look to a future focused on its more successful commercial explosives operation Dyno Nobel, so it is expected to take a realistic approach to price. Former Incitec Pivot management held out for top dollar when trying to sell its fertiliser unit twice before, and opposed a business break-up. Most buyers were keen to buy the distribution arm and few were interested in taking on the more problematic manufacturing operation. But now, with distribution available separately, the sale process is likely to involve plenty of competitive tension. Australian listed trade buyers like Elders Limited (ASX:ELD) and Ridley Corporation Limited (ASX:RIC) and global strategics like The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) and Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR), which has a major Australian presence, will be going head to head with private equity firms like Pacific Equity Partners and BGH Capital, which have been sounded out by investment bankers in recent months. It's clear the market is in favour of the decision, with shares closing higher, despite a thumping $311 million loss and an overall $1 billion writedown to the fertiliser unit. The writedown included $100m for its US operations Most of the rest was linked to the Australian manufacturing operations. The sale process will get going in earnest early next year. The book value is now $414.3 million, compared to more than $1 billion in the past. Private equity in the past has put forward offers of less than $500 million for the fertiliser business, but that was when manufacturing was also part of the picture, although they will be still keen to snap up the operation at an opportunistic price. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.036 (vs US$0.15 in 3Q 2023) Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.036 (down from US$0.15 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$5.09b (down 5.3% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$18.0m (down 76% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.4% (down from 1.4% in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.1% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 12% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • Oct 11
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 06, 2024 Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 19
Executive VP & President of Potash recently bought Mex$1.9m worth of stock On the 12th of August, Christopher Reynolds bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly Mex$871 per share. This transaction amounted to 42% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$8.9m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 14
Executive VP & President of Potash recently bought Mex$1.9m worth of stock On the 12th of August, Christopher Reynolds bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly Mex$871 per share. This transaction amounted to 42% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$8.7m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Declared Dividend • Aug 12
Second quarter dividend of US$0.54 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.54. Ex-date: 27th September 2024 Payment date: 18th October 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.3%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (134% earnings payout ratio). However, it is well covered by cash flows (40% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 5.1% per year over the past 6 years and payments have been stable during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 49% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 62% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range. Announcement • Aug 08
Nutrien Ltd. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes Nutrien Ltd. announces the appointment of Mark Thompson as Chief Financial Officer, effective August 26, 2024. In alignment with Nutrien's succession plan, Mr. Thompson succeeds Pedro Farah, who will remain with Nutrien in an advisory capacity until his departure on December 31, 2024. Mr. Thompson has been with the Company since 2011, currently serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer. Prior to his current position he held numerous executive and senior leadership roles across the company, including Chief Strategy & Sustainability Officer, Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer, and Vice President of Business Development for Nutrien’s Retail business. He earned his Bachelor of Commerce (Finance) and Bachelor of Arts degrees from the University of Saskatchewan and holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation. Reported Earnings • Aug 08
Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.78 (vs US$0.89 in 2Q 2023) Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.78 (down from US$0.89 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$9.92b (down 13% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$385.0m (down 13% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 3.9% (in line with 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 3.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year. Announcement • Aug 08
Nutrien Ltd. Announces the Appointment of Mark Thompson as Executive Vice President, Effective August 26, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced the appointment of Mark Thompson as Executive Vice President, effective August 26, 2024. Mr. Thompson has been with the Company since 2011, currently serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer. Prior to his current position he held numerous executive and senior leadership roles across the company, including Chief Strategy & Sustainability Officer, Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer, and Vice President of Business Development for Nutrien’s Retail business. He earned his Bachelor of Commerce (Finance) and Bachelor of Arts degrees from the University of Saskatchewan and holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 20
Insider recently bought Mex$1.2m worth of stock On the 19th of June, Trevor Williams bought around 1k shares on-market at roughly Mex$937 per share. This transaction increased Trevor's direct individual holding by 1x at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$4.6m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Announcement • Jun 18
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 07, 2024 Declared Dividend • May 13
First quarter dividend of US$0.54 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.54. Ex-date: 28th June 2024 Payment date: 19th July 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.0%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (125% earnings payout ratio). However, it is well covered by cash flows (37% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 5.1% per year over the past 6 years and payments have been stable during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 39% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 38% over the next 3 years, which should be enough to bring the dividend into a sustainable range. Announcement • May 10
Nutrien Ltd. Approves the Election of Julie A. Lagacy as Director Nutrien Ltd. at its annual meeting of shareholders held on May 8, 2024 approved the election of Julie A. Lagacy as Director. Reported Earnings • May 09
First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.32 (vs US$1.14 in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.32 (down from US$1.14 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$5.15b (down 13% from 1Q 2023). Net income: US$158.0m (down 72% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 3.1% (down from 9.7% in 1Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.8% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • May 09
Nutrien Ltd. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 19, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of USD 0.54 per share payable on July 19, 2024, to shareholders of record on June 28, 2024. Announcement • Apr 15
Nutrien Reportedly Seeks an Exit from its Retail Assets in Argentina, Chile and Uruguay Canadian fertiliser giant Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR) is seeking an exit from its retail assets in Argentina, Chile and Uruguay, Reuters reported citing a statement from the company. The move is said to be aimed at simplifying the company’s business and concentrating on key markets, such as Brazil. Announcement • Apr 11
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 08, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 08, 2024 Upcoming Dividend • Mar 20
Upcoming dividend of US$0.54 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 March 2024. Payment date: 11 April 2024. Payout ratio is on the higher end at 84%, however this is supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.0%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.2%). Lower than average of industry peers (10%). Declared Dividend • Mar 04
Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.54 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.54. Ex-date: 27th March 2024 Payment date: 11th April 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.1%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (84% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (45% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 5.1% per year over the past 6 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 25% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Announcement • Feb 24
Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2024 Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2024. Reported Earnings • Feb 22
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$2.53 (vs US$14.23 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$2.53 (down from US$14.23 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$28.1b (down 24% from FY 2022). Net income: US$1.26b (down 84% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.5% (down from 21% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Jan 24
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 21, 2024 Reported Earnings • Nov 03
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.15 (vs US$2.95 in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.15 (down from US$2.95 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$5.37b (down 33% from 3Q 2022). Net income: US$75.0m (down 95% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.4% (down from 20% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.8% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 56% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Nov 02
Nutrien Ltd. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on January 12, 2024 Nutrien Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of USD 0.53 per share payable on January 12, 2024, to shareholders of record on December 29, 2023. Announcement • Oct 06
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 01, 2023 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results After-Market on Nov 01, 2023 New Risk • Aug 05
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 11% Last year net profit margin: 20% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 11% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks High level of debt (46% net debt to equity). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (11% net profit margin). Reported Earnings • Aug 04
Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.89 (vs US$6.53 in 2Q 2022) Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.89 (down from US$6.53 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: US$11.4b (down 20% from 2Q 2022). Net income: US$440.0m (down 88% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 3.9% (down from 25% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to decline by 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Chemicals industry in South America are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 74% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Aug 03
Nutrien Ltd. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on October 13, 2023 Nutrien Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of USD 0.53 per share payable on October 13, 2023, to shareholders of record on September 29, 2023. Announcement • Jun 29
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results After-Market on Aug 02, 2023 Upcoming Dividend • Jun 23
Upcoming dividend of US$0.53 per share at 3.6% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2023. Payment date: 14 July 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 15% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.6%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (20%). Recent Insider Transactions • May 18
Executive VP & CFO recently bought Mex$5.2m worth of stock On the 12th of May, Pedro Farah bought around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,046 per share. This transaction amounted to 19% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Pedro's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • May 12
First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.14 (vs US$2.49 in 1Q 2022) First quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$1.14 (down from US$2.49 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$5.91b (down 21% from 1Q 2022). Net income: US$571.0m (down 59% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 9.7% (down from 19% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Chemicals industry in South America are expected to grow by 3.2%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 88% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Buying Opportunity • Apr 21
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 13%. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$1,622, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 26% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 93%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 6.1% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to decline by 32% per annum over the same time period. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23
Upcoming dividend of US$0.53 per share at 2.9% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2023. Payment date: 13 April 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 13% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (5.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (14%). Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 15
Insider recently bought Mex$1.4m worth of stock On the 10th of March, Andy Kelemen bought around 1k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,435 per share. This transaction amounted to 28% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought Mex$7.0m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 05
Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer recently bought Mex$771k worth of stock On the 1st of March, Mark Thompson bought around 540 shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,429 per share. This transaction amounted to 7.1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent purchase, insiders have collectively sold Mex$16m more in shares than they bought in the last 12 months. Announcement • Feb 18
Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 10, 2023 Nutrien Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 10, 2023. Reported Earnings • Feb 18
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$14.23 (vs US$5.54 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: US$14.23 (up from US$5.54 in FY 2021). Revenue: US$37.0b (up 38% from FY 2021). Net income: US$7.66b (up 143% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 21% (up from 12% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to fall by 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 2.0% decline forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 93% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 20% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Feb 16
Nutrien Ltd. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 13, 2023 Nutrien Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.53 per share, payable on April 13, 2023, to shareholders of record on March 31, 2023. This represents a 10% increase from the prior dividend declared on November 3, 2022 and equates to an annualized dividend of $2.12 per share. Announcement • Jan 19
Nutrien Ltd. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 15, 2023 Nutrien Ltd. announced that they will report Q4, 2022 results After-Market on Feb 15, 2023 Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22
Upcoming dividend of US$0.48 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2022. Payment date: 13 January 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 14% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.6%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.4%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%). Buying Opportunity • Nov 25
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 23%. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$1,944, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 89%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 5.4% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to decline by 28% per annum over the same time period. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 16
President recently bought Mex$12m worth of stock On the 9th of November, Kenneth Seitz bought around 8k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,486 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Kenneth's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 12
President recently bought Mex$12m worth of stock On the 9th of November, Kenneth Seitz bought around 8k shares on-market at roughly Mex$1,486 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Kenneth's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Buying Opportunity • Nov 05
Now 26% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 16%. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$1,929, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 89%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 6.3% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to decline by 28% per annum over the same time period. 
