Mosaic Valuation
Is MOS * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MOS * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MOS * (MX$533.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$773.96)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MOS * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOS *?
Key metric: As MOS * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MOS *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 22.3x |
| Earnings | US$371.20m |
| Market Cap | US$8.08b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MOS *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 29.6x | ||
CEMEX CPO CEMEX. de | 27.4x | 31.1% | Mex$159.7b |
PE&OLES * Industrias Peñoles. de | 70x | n/a | Mex$121.3b |
ORBIA * Orbia Advance Corporation. de | 11.9x | 18.4% | Mex$33.3b |
ICH B Industrias CH S. A. B. de C. V | 9x | n/a | Mex$73.5b |
MOS * Mosaic | 22.3x | 26.9% | Mex$8.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOS * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (29.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MOS *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Chemicals Industry?
| 36 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOS * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the Global Chemicals industry average (21.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MOS *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 22.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MOS *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$533.19 | Mex$658.58 +23.5% | 17.4% | Mex$885.15 | Mex$502.93 | n/a | 19 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$658.94 0% | 17.4% | Mex$894.69 | Mex$516.93 | n/a | 19 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$660.93 0% | 18.2% | Mex$966.69 | Mex$502.68 | n/a | 20 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$667.70 0% | 17.8% | Mex$973.74 | Mex$506.34 | n/a | 20 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$524.00 | Mex$632.06 +20.6% | 16.4% | Mex$899.46 | Mex$485.71 | n/a | 20 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$519.82 | Mex$649.15 +24.9% | 14.8% | Mex$907.00 | Mex$489.78 | n/a | 20 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$596.72 0% | 14.5% | Mex$834.35 | Mex$450.55 | n/a | 20 |
| May ’25 | Mex$516.50 | Mex$640.37 +24.0% | 11.9% | Mex$856.34 | Mex$530.93 | n/a | 20 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$545.00 | Mex$630.42 +15.7% | 13.6% | Mex$834.69 | Mex$517.51 | n/a | 22 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$654.88 0% | 13.9% | Mex$852.40 | Mex$528.49 | n/a | 22 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$531.66 | Mex$673.11 +26.6% | 13.4% | Mex$860.44 | Mex$533.47 | n/a | 21 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$610.00 | Mex$683.24 +12.0% | 14.6% | Mex$919.74 | Mex$528.00 | n/a | 21 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$620.00 | Mex$694.34 +12.0% | 13.9% | Mex$925.13 | Mex$531.09 | n/a | 21 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$577.61 | Mex$772.05 +33.7% | 12.7% | Mex$984.71 | Mex$583.53 | n/a | 21 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$624.50 | Mex$740.58 +18.6% | 12.6% | Mex$941.94 | Mex$548.04 | n/a | 21 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$652.03 | Mex$719.03 +10.3% | 12.9% | Mex$921.54 | Mex$536.17 | n/a | 22 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$678.11 | Mex$710.24 +4.7% | 13.6% | Mex$927.37 | Mex$539.56 | Mex$524.00 | 22 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$588.80 | Mex$749.91 +27.4% | 14.4% | Mex$1,061.41 | Mex$599.18 | Mex$519.82 | 22 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$557.00 | Mex$783.28 +40.6% | 15.2% | Mex$1,088.31 | Mex$614.37 | n/a | 22 |
| May ’24 | Mex$762.53 | Mex$934.87 +22.6% | 17.3% | Mex$1,258.59 | Mex$683.24 | Mex$516.50 | 22 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$795.50 | Mex$1,037.47 +30.4% | 17.0% | Mex$1,479.67 | Mex$758.80 | Mex$545.00 | 22 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$981.82 | Mex$988.89 +0.7% | 16.6% | Mex$1,412.03 | Mex$724.12 | n/a | 23 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$929.00 | Mex$1,058.84 +14.0% | 18.5% | Mex$1,500.74 | Mex$731.61 | Mex$531.66 | 23 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$847.03 | Mex$1,190.48 +40.5% | 15.5% | Mex$1,785.89 | Mex$854.12 | Mex$610.00 | 22 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$973.00 | Mex$1,189.60 +22.3% | 15.3% | Mex$1,769.56 | Mex$846.31 | Mex$620.00 | 21 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$1,065.57 | Mex$1,267.61 +19.0% | 16.1% | Mex$1,833.95 | Mex$867.68 | Mex$577.61 | 21 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
CRH
UK£32.3b
Provides building materials solutions in Ireland and internationally.
CRH N
UK£960.44
7D
0%
1Y
48.5%
Navigator Company
€2.6b
Manufactures and markets pulp and paper products worldwide.
NVG N
€80.27
7D
0%
1Y
n/a
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
R$15.4b
Operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America.
SID N
R$37.95
7D
0%
1Y
-32.2%