GCC. de Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GCC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GCC * (MX$151.21) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$206.22)

Is GCC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GCC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GCC * (MX$151.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$206.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GCC * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GCC *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GCC *. This is calculated by dividing GCC *'s market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GCC *'s n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$2.53b

GCC * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.6x
PEG Ratio	-59.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GCC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GCC * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	38x
CMOCTEZ * Corporación Moctezuma. de	9.7x	2.6%	Mex$64.2b
CEMEX CPO CEMEX. de	44.3x	35.8%	Mex$171.1b
ORBIA * Orbia Advance Corporation. de	16.7x	33.5%	Mex$41.1b
PE&OLES * Industrias Peñoles. de	81.4x	n/a	Mex$98.2b
GCC * GCC. de	7.9x	-0.1%	Mex$49.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GCC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (38x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GCC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Basic Materials Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	31.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	31.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GCC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the Global Basic Materials industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GCC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GCC * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.9x
Fair PE Ratio	9.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GCC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GCC * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$151.21	Mex$240.54 +59.1%	11.9%	Mex$307.35	Mex$199.41	n/a	11
Aug ’25	Mex$158.08	Mex$238.11 +50.6%	9.1%	Mex$295.64	Mex$208.82	n/a	11
Jul ’25	Mex$172.39	Mex$253.39 +47.0%	7.1%	Mex$293.06	Mex$234.17	n/a	9
Jun ’25	Mex$184.93	Mex$231.44 +25.1%	7.2%	Mex$263.47	Mex$210.52	n/a	9
May ’25	Mex$194.98	Mex$238.11 +22.1%	7.5%	Mex$271.79	Mex$217.05	n/a	9
Apr ’25	Mex$199.56	Mex$226.94 +13.7%	6.3%	Mex$252.15	Mex$213.01	n/a	8
Mar ’25	Mex$181.71	Mex$230.38 +26.8%	6.4%	Mex$256.10	Mex$216.35	n/a	8
Feb ’25	Mex$197.66	Mex$227.15 +14.9%	6.8%	Mex$250.27	Mex$197.68	n/a	8
Jan ’25	Mex$200.08	Mex$202.33 +1.1%	9.4%	Mex$240.55	Mex$175.78	n/a	9
Dec ’24	Mex$171.35	Mex$200.17 +16.8%	10.7%	Mex$246.27	Mex$169.04	n/a	9
Nov ’24	Mex$165.16	Mex$200.17 +21.2%	10.7%	Mex$246.27	Mex$169.04	n/a	9
Oct ’24	Mex$163.93	Mex$200.75 +22.5%	13.8%	Mex$256.89	Mex$162.53	n/a	10
Sep ’24	Mex$166.41	Mex$201.28 +21.0%	13.7%	Mex$255.77	Mex$161.82	n/a	10
Aug ’24	Mex$156.04	Mex$191.81 +22.9%	15.3%	Mex$250.22	Mex$158.27	Mex$158.08	10
Jul ’24	Mex$146.66	Mex$185.20 +26.3%	13.2%	Mex$237.11	Mex$160.04	Mex$172.39	10
Jun ’24	Mex$138.67	Mex$188.82 +36.2%	13.8%	Mex$242.84	Mex$155.41	Mex$184.93	10
May ’24	Mex$142.93	Mex$191.36 +33.9%	12.7%	Mex$249.17	Mex$159.47	Mex$194.98	10
Apr ’24	Mex$142.85	Mex$190.97 +33.7%	14.6%	Mex$248.57	Mex$148.15	Mex$199.56	9
Mar ’24	Mex$149.39	Mex$182.05 +21.9%	17.8%	Mex$245.28	Mex$124.56	Mex$181.71	10
Feb ’24	Mex$157.23	Mex$180.61 +14.9%	19.0%	Mex$248.57	Mex$126.23	Mex$197.66	10
Jan ’24	Mex$130.40	Mex$175.03 +34.2%	13.8%	Mex$205.52	Mex$131.31	Mex$200.08	11
Dec ’23	Mex$138.08	Mex$174.02 +26.0%	13.5%	Mex$205.12	Mex$131.05	Mex$171.35	11
Nov ’23	Mex$127.93	Mex$177.85 +39.0%	13.2%	Mex$211.59	Mex$135.19	Mex$165.16	11
Oct ’23	Mex$120.70	Mex$182.75 +51.4%	13.7%	Mex$216.91	Mex$136.52	Mex$163.93	11
Sep ’23	Mex$116.00	Mex$188.55 +62.5%	10.5%	Mex$216.98	Mex$149.39	Mex$166.41	10
Aug ’23	Mex$126.60	Mex$191.83 +51.5%	8.6%	Mex$219.45	Mex$172.53	Mex$156.04	10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.