Permian Resources Corporation

BMV:PR * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$259.7b

Permian Resources Valuation

Is PR * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PR * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PR * (MX$290) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$910.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PR * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PR *?

Key metric: As PR * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PR *. This is calculated by dividing PR *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is PR *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.7x
EarningsUS$1.02b
Market CapUS$12.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PR *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PR * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
VISTA A Vista Energy. de
9.7x15.0%Mex$106.6b
AKRBP Aker BP
9.1x0.07%NOK 142.9b
CHRD Chord Energy
8.4x4.3%US$8.0b
PRIO3 Prio
6.8x27.5%R$33.2b
PR * Permian Resources
10.7x10.1%Mex$12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PR * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PR *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies84PE0816243240+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PR * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PR *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PR * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PR *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PR * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$381.66
0%
10.7%Mex$446.88Mex$284.38n/a19
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$362.99
0%
9.7%Mex$419.80Mex$279.87n/a19
Oct ’25Mex$258.00
Mex$374.72
+45.2%
11.1%Mex$470.72Mex$294.20n/a19
Sep ’25Mex$277.33
Mex$378.10
+36.3%
9.8%Mex$448.74Mex$299.16n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$388.57
0%
8.2%Mex$450.03Mex$318.77n/a18
Jul ’25Mex$293.00
Mex$382.60
+30.6%
8.5%Mex$443.12Mex$313.88n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$351.29
0%
8.7%Mex$407.18Mex$288.42n/a17
May ’25n/a
Mex$342.52
0%
10.3%Mex$411.24Mex$287.87n/a19
Apr ’25Mex$288.00
Mex$309.21
+7.4%
11.7%Mex$398.98Mex$249.36n/a18
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$296.88
0%
11.7%Mex$408.45Mex$238.26n/a18
Feb ’25Mex$233.00
Mex$288.84
+24.0%
12.1%Mex$394.65Mex$240.22n/a18
Jan ’25Mex$235.83
Mex$295.78
+25.4%
9.5%Mex$344.18Mex$240.93n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$300.29
0%
8.6%Mex$347.27Mex$260.45n/a17
Nov ’24Mex$269.00
Mex$318.69
+18.5%
9.8%Mex$364.91Mex$255.44n/a15
Oct ’24Mex$230.00
Mex$289.69
+26.0%
10.8%Mex$343.51Mex$240.46Mex$258.0015
Sep ’24Mex$245.00
Mex$264.22
+7.8%
10.8%Mex$319.07Mex$218.31Mex$277.3315
Aug ’24Mex$193.00
Mex$233.54
+21.0%
10.4%Mex$283.58Mex$183.50n/a15
Jul ’24Mex$186.00
Mex$241.05
+29.6%
13.6%Mex$325.48Mex$188.44Mex$293.0014
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$249.78
0%
12.7%Mex$319.51Mex$195.26n/a14
May ’24Mex$180.75
Mex$256.80
+42.1%
10.0%Mex$305.60Mex$215.71n/a14
Apr ’24Mex$179.00
Mex$260.69
+45.6%
9.3%Mex$297.94Mex$223.45Mex$288.0013
Mar ’24Mex$211.00
Mex$240.91
+14.2%
8.5%Mex$289.65Mex$217.23n/a13
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$236.34
0%
10.0%Mex$279.32Mex$204.83Mex$233.0013
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$240.91
0%
9.6%Mex$293.00Mex$214.87Mex$235.8312
Dec ’23Mex$189.80
Mex$241.40
+27.2%
10.6%Mex$291.63Mex$213.86n/a12
Nov ’23Mex$198.90
Mex$225.66
+13.5%
7.8%Mex$257.90Mex$198.38Mex$269.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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