Matador Resources Valuation
Is MTDR * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MTDR * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MTDR * (MX$966.57) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$871.68)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MTDR * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTDR *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is MTDR *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$6.67b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 4x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MTDR *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 17.7x | ||
VISTA A Vista Energy. de | 10.5x | 18.0% | Mex$89.8b |
PSK PrairieSky Royalty | 29.3x | 51.4% | CA$6.7b |
MUR Murphy Oil | 9.1x | 9.6% | US$5.3b |
VNOM Viper Energy | 22x | 17.8% | US$9.1b |
MTDR * Matador Resources | 7.1x | 9.5% | Mex$6.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTDR * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MTDR *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTDR * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MTDR *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 7.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTDR *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$1,516.22 0% | 8.2% | Mex$1,746.46 | Mex$1,216.64 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,503.27 0% | 9.4% | Mex$1,757.56 | Mex$1,159.24 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,497.21 0% | 8.7% | Mex$1,675.98 | Mex$1,154.56 | n/a | 15 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$1,068.49 | Mex$1,462.63 +36.9% | 9.0% | Mex$1,672.11 | Mex$1,139.24 | n/a | 15 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,312.54 0% | 9.3% | Mex$1,513.09 | Mex$1,042.35 | n/a | 14 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,336.38 0% | 8.9% | Mex$1,549.00 | Mex$1,067.09 | n/a | 15 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,215.94 0% | 7.6% | Mex$1,396.43 | Mex$1,030.70 | n/a | 14 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,206.59 0% | 9.0% | Mex$1,437.63 | Mex$1,061.11 | n/a | 14 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,217.80 0% | 8.6% | Mex$1,445.14 | Mex$1,066.65 | n/a | 14 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,283.86 0% | 6.2% | Mex$1,416.75 | Mex$1,109.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,321.22 0% | 6.3% | Mex$1,509.61 | Mex$1,214.63 | n/a | 14 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,383.18 0% | 6.1% | Mex$1,570.65 | Mex$1,263.75 | n/a | 13 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,243.62 0% | 9.3% | Mex$1,489.97 | Mex$1,061.82 | Mex$966.57 | 13 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,230.42 0% | 10.0% | Mex$1,491.54 | Mex$1,062.93 | n/a | 13 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,160.00 0% | 8.9% | Mex$1,351.19 | Mex$1,034.25 | n/a | 13 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,182.13 0% | 9.2% | Mex$1,381.56 | Mex$1,023.38 | Mex$1,068.49 | 13 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,238.45 0% | 8.8% | Mex$1,437.81 | Mex$1,065.04 | n/a | 13 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,279.96 0% | 8.2% | Mex$1,469.79 | Mex$1,106.88 | n/a | 13 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,313.74 0% | 7.8% | Mex$1,485.90 | Mex$1,192.39 | n/a | 13 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,345.70 0% | 10.2% | Mex$1,727.35 | Mex$1,194.45 | n/a | 13 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,385.12 0% | 8.0% | Mex$1,675.89 | Mex$1,247.61 | n/a | 13 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,421.04 0% | 11.0% | Mex$1,757.99 | Mex$1,113.39 | n/a | 12 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,445.05 0% | 13.9% | Mex$1,857.93 | Mex$1,103.14 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,464.73 0% | 14.6% | Mex$1,904.48 | Mex$1,130.78 | n/a | 12 |
| Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,506.10 0% | 14.4% | Mex$1,958.27 | Mex$1,223.92 | n/a | 12 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.