CONSOL Energy Valuation

Is CEIX * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CEIX * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CEIX * (MX$2757.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5453.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CEIX * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CEIX *?

Key metric: As CEIX * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CEIX *. This is calculated by dividing CEIX *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is CEIX *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
EarningsUS$412.65m
Market CapUS$3.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CEIX *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CEIX * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
VISTA A Vista Energy. de
9.7x15.0%Mex$106.6b
WHC Whitehaven Coal
15.8x17.8%AU$5.6b
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners
8x-7.2%US$3.7b
GEMS Golden Energy Mines
7.9xn/aRp62.8t
CEIX * CONSOL Energy
9.5x-1.0%Mex$3.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CEIX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CEIX *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies85PE0816243240+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CEIX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CEIX *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CEIX * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CEIX *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CEIX * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$2,757.97
Mex$2,558.51
-7.2%
12.6%Mex$2,853.21Mex$2,109.77n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$2,335.89
0%
11.1%Mex$2,664.08Mex$2,027.01n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$2,225.83
0%
5.7%Mex$2,399.10Mex$2,099.21n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$2,059.22
0%
6.9%Mex$2,260.12Mex$1,939.93n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,774.27
0%
3.9%Mex$1,858.76Mex$1,689.78n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,774.27
0%
3.9%Mex$1,858.76Mex$1,689.78n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,774.27
0%
3.9%Mex$1,858.76Mex$1,689.78n/a3
May ’25n/a
Mex$1,711.92
0%
4.7%Mex$1,804.90Mex$1,608.00n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$1,791.94
0%
3.9%Mex$1,877.27Mex$1,706.61n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,791.94
0%
3.9%Mex$1,877.27Mex$1,706.61n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,844.01
0%
2.4%Mex$1,883.60Mex$1,781.79n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,899.98
0%
2.2%Mex$1,959.35Mex$1,870.29n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,899.98
0%
2.2%Mex$1,959.35Mex$1,870.29n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,899.98
0%
2.2%Mex$1,959.35Mex$1,870.29n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$1,528.14
0%
0.5%Mex$1,533.82Mex$1,516.77n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,528.14
0%
0.5%Mex$1,533.82Mex$1,516.77n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$1,347.61
0%
3.3%Mex$1,387.58Mex$1,284.80n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,347.61
0%
3.3%Mex$1,387.58Mex$1,284.80n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$1,409.18
0%
4.6%Mex$1,485.83Mex$1,326.63n/a3
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,531.29
0%
2.4%Mex$1,568.64Mex$1,493.94n/a2
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$1,531.29
0%
2.4%Mex$1,568.64Mex$1,493.94n/a2
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,531.29
0%
2.4%Mex$1,568.64Mex$1,493.94n/a2
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$1,531.29
0%
2.4%Mex$1,568.64Mex$1,493.94n/a2
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,623.80
0%
3.0%Mex$1,673.00Mex$1,574.59n/a2
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,623.80
0%
3.0%Mex$1,673.00Mex$1,574.59n/a2
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$1,526.12
0%
5.3%Mex$1,606.44Mex$1,445.80n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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