Starwood Property Trust Valuation
Is STWD * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of STWD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: STWD * (MX$333.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$4.46)
Significantly Below Fair Value: STWD * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STWD *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is STWD *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$6.39b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does STWD *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 7.8x | ||
FHIPO 14 Fideicomiso Irrevocable F/2061 FHipo | 4.8x | n/a | Mex$3.8b |
GPROFUT * Grupo Profuturo. de | 10.4x | n/a | Mex$29.6b |
GENTERA * Gentera. de | 8.5x | 16.3% | Mex$41.4b |
RITM Rithm Capital | 7.5x | -1.3% | US$5.5b |
STWD * Starwood Property Trust | 14.7x | 11.9% | Mex$6.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STWD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does STWD *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Mortgage REITs Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STWD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the Global Mortgage REITs industry average (10.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is STWD *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 14.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STWD *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$364.46 0% | 6.5% | Mex$402.82 | Mex$335.69 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’25 | Mex$333.10 | Mex$374.34 +12.4% | 6.1% | Mex$411.04 | Mex$342.54 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$377.44 0% | 5.7% | Mex$407.13 | Mex$356.24 | n/a | 8 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$338.00 | Mex$383.02 +13.3% | 5.6% | Mex$410.83 | Mex$359.48 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$357.77 | Mex$381.11 +6.5% | 6.3% | Mex$412.24 | Mex$352.12 | n/a | 8 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$379.50 0% | 6.7% | Mex$411.66 | Mex$343.05 | n/a | 8 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$347.09 | Mex$390.66 +12.6% | 6.3% | Mex$428.96 | Mex$357.47 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$398.51 0% | 6.3% | Mex$437.58 | Mex$364.65 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$378.00 0% | 5.3% | Mex$411.03 | Mex$359.65 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$341.50 | Mex$370.76 +8.6% | 6.9% | Mex$410.29 | Mex$324.81 | n/a | 8 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$347.50 | Mex$353.40 +1.7% | 8.8% | Mex$403.89 | Mex$319.75 | n/a | 8 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$341.17 0% | 8.2% | Mex$402.31 | Mex$316.71 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$308.31 | Mex$345.27 +12.0% | 8.1% | Mex$413.07 | Mex$325.18 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$385.20 0% | 13.9% | Mex$503.33 | Mex$332.56 | Mex$333.10 | 7 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$436.73 0% | 9.6% | Mex$531.67 | Mex$398.75 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$347.11 | Mex$424.13 +22.2% | 9.1% | Mex$506.88 | Mex$380.16 | Mex$338.00 | 7 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$378.42 | Mex$452.81 +19.7% | 7.9% | Mex$525.54 | Mex$412.92 | Mex$357.77 | 8 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$479.93 0% | 6.7% | Mex$549.89 | Mex$441.88 | n/a | 8 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$478.99 0% | 6.4% | Mex$546.02 | Mex$438.77 | Mex$347.09 | 8 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$413.10 | Mex$494.23 +19.6% | 7.4% | Mex$552.16 | Mex$443.70 | n/a | 8 |
| Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$542.33 0% | 6.0% | Mex$603.99 | Mex$503.33 | n/a | 8 |
| Sep ’23 | n/a | Mex$548.32 0% | 6.3% | Mex$607.64 | Mex$506.37 | Mex$341.50 | 7 |
| Aug ’23 | Mex$465.90 | Mex$565.66 +21.4% | 6.3% | Mex$613.90 | Mex$511.58 | Mex$347.50 | 7 |
| Jul ’23 | Mex$465.90 | Mex$568.81 +22.1% | 6.2% | Mex$640.27 | Mex$520.22 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’23 | Mex$465.90 | Mex$568.81 +22.1% | 6.2% | Mex$640.27 | Mex$520.22 | Mex$308.31 | 7 |
| May ’23 | n/a | Mex$582.83 0% | 7.5% | Mex$646.31 | Mex$525.13 | n/a | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.