Block Valuation

Is SQ * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SQ * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SQ * (MX$1910) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$743.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SQ * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SQ *?

Key metric: As SQ * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SQ *. This is calculated by dividing SQ *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is SQ *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio54.3x
EarningsUS$1.05b
Market CapUS$57.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SQ *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SQ * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45x
PYPL PayPal Holdings
19.6x6.1%US$87.0b
ADYEN Adyen
49.2x19.8%€40.6b
FIS Fidelity National Information Services
85.2x24.9%US$46.3b
CPAY Corpay
26.1x15.5%US$26.5b
SQ * Block
54.3x27.6%Mex$57.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SQ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.3x) compared to the peer average (45x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SQ *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Diversified Financial Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies5PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SQ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.3x) compared to the South American Diversified Financial industry average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SQ *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SQ * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SQ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SQ * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,910.00
Mex$1,841.03
-3.6%
15.5%Mex$2,457.68Mex$819.23n/a42
Nov ’25Mex$1,458.91
Mex$1,734.47
+18.9%
15.2%Mex$2,002.97Mex$801.19n/a41
Oct ’25Mex$1,317.00
Mex$1,739.64
+32.1%
14.5%Mex$1,989.05Mex$795.62n/a40
Sep ’25Mex$1,265.01
Mex$1,740.43
+37.6%
14.1%Mex$1,970.49Mex$788.20n/a38
Aug ’25Mex$1,124.00
Mex$1,697.35
+51.0%
13.9%Mex$1,989.84Mex$750.88n/a39
Jul ’25Mex$1,164.15
Mex$1,665.75
+43.1%
13.5%Mex$1,946.72Mex$734.61n/a39
Jun ’25Mex$1,071.70
Mex$1,546.99
+44.3%
13.1%Mex$1,798.36Mex$678.63n/a40
May ’25Mex$1,250.00
Mex$1,558.25
+24.7%
13.5%Mex$1,884.86Mex$685.40n/a43
Apr ’25Mex$1,357.00
Mex$1,496.87
+10.3%
13.5%Mex$1,829.47Mex$665.26n/a42
Mar ’25Mex$1,359.00
Mex$1,526.30
+12.3%
13.2%Mex$1,872.05Mex$680.74n/a44
Feb ’25Mex$1,135.00
Mex$1,386.22
+22.1%
17.4%Mex$1,715.87Mex$686.35n/a42
Jan ’25Mex$1,313.90
Mex$1,298.75
-1.2%
19.0%Mex$1,698.86Mex$679.54n/a41
Dec ’24Mex$1,119.36
Mex$1,241.53
+10.9%
19.5%Mex$1,719.70Mex$687.88n/a43
Nov ’24Mex$731.00
Mex$1,324.79
+81.2%
22.4%Mex$1,985.89Mex$631.87Mex$1,458.9143
Oct ’24Mex$772.07
Mex$1,414.77
+83.2%
17.3%Mex$1,917.41Mex$610.09Mex$1,317.0039
Sep ’24Mex$996.54
Mex$1,431.69
+43.7%
16.1%Mex$1,861.43Mex$591.94Mex$1,265.0139
Aug ’24Mex$1,323.02
Mex$1,429.48
+8.0%
20.2%Mex$2,452.17Mex$583.52Mex$1,124.0040
Jul ’24Mex$1,143.03
Mex$1,447.97
+26.7%
21.1%Mex$2,524.93Mex$600.83Mex$1,164.1539
Jun ’24Mex$1,067.75
Mex$1,538.38
+44.1%
20.8%Mex$2,622.67Mex$624.09Mex$1,071.7039
May ’24Mex$1,100.00
Mex$1,668.22
+51.7%
14.9%Mex$2,689.29Mex$1,255.00Mex$1,250.0038
Apr ’24Mex$1,248.50
Mex$1,695.69
+35.8%
14.2%Mex$2,703.36Mex$1,261.57Mex$1,357.0039
Mar ’24Mex$1,390.00
Mex$1,735.34
+24.8%
15.2%Mex$2,744.76Mex$1,280.89Mex$1,359.0040
Feb ’24Mex$1,510.00
Mex$1,674.34
+10.9%
20.1%Mex$2,817.63Mex$957.99Mex$1,135.0040
Jan ’24Mex$1,200.00
Mex$1,796.10
+49.7%
28.7%Mex$4,125.41Mex$1,001.88Mex$1,313.9042
Dec ’23Mex$1,325.00
Mex$1,805.74
+36.3%
29.8%Mex$4,082.82Mex$991.54Mex$1,119.3641
Nov ’23Mex$1,171.00
Mex$2,036.23
+73.9%
32.1%Mex$4,157.24Mex$970.02Mex$731.0041

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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