Mastercard Valuation
Is MA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MA * (MX$10926.86) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$9396.21)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MA * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MA *?
Key metric: As MA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MA *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 39.7x |
| Earnings | US$12.32b |
| Market Cap | US$485.06b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 18.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 29.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 36.1x | ||
V Visa | 31.7x | 9.6% | US$611.1b |
FI Fiserv | 41x | 18.7% | US$126.6b |
PYPL PayPal Holdings | 19.6x | 6.1% | US$87.2b |
SQ Block | 52.2x | 27.6% | US$55.2b |
MA * Mastercard | 39.7x | 12.0% | Mex$485.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x) compared to the peer average (36.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Diversified Financial Industry?
| 2 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x) compared to the South American Diversified Financial industry average (8.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 39.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 18.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$10,926.86 | Mex$11,334.01 +3.7% | 6.8% | Mex$12,390.63 | Mex$9,429.67 | n/a | 36 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$10,178.00 | Mex$11,033.96 +8.4% | 7.5% | Mex$12,267.34 | Mex$9,246.13 | n/a | 37 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$9,768.60 | Mex$10,276.31 +5.2% | 5.6% | Mex$11,635.61 | Mex$8,977.73 | n/a | 37 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$9,690.09 | Mex$9,827.40 +1.4% | 5.4% | Mex$10,827.61 | Mex$8,567.11 | n/a | 36 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$8,660.00 | Mex$9,712.51 +12.2% | 6.0% | Mex$11,544.84 | Mex$8,466.22 | n/a | 37 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$8,036.27 | Mex$9,309.47 +15.8% | 5.7% | Mex$11,156.10 | Mex$8,181.14 | n/a | 37 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$7,528.90 | Mex$8,566.16 +13.8% | 5.5% | Mex$10,229.79 | Mex$7,501.84 | n/a | 37 |
| May ’25 | Mex$7,752.00 | Mex$8,739.01 +12.7% | 6.1% | Mex$10,465.95 | Mex$7,011.33 | n/a | 37 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$7,965.83 | Mex$8,479.11 +6.4% | 5.3% | Mex$9,578.93 | Mex$6,863.51 | n/a | 36 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$8,165.19 | Mex$8,662.96 +6.1% | 5.5% | Mex$9,840.95 | Mex$7,051.26 | n/a | 37 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$7,825.88 | Mex$8,412.65 +7.5% | 7.1% | Mex$9,158.36 | Mex$7,039.64 | n/a | 36 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$7,250.50 | Mex$7,754.58 +7.0% | 6.5% | Mex$8,834.07 | Mex$6,965.33 | n/a | 35 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$7,118.00 | Mex$7,664.29 +7.7% | 5.1% | Mex$8,345.90 | Mex$7,000.90 | n/a | 34 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$6,755.30 | Mex$8,039.55 +19.0% | 5.0% | Mex$8,726.42 | Mex$7,320.10 | Mex$10,178.00 | 35 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$7,038.40 | Mex$8,038.11 +14.2% | 5.8% | Mex$9,286.70 | Mex$7,127.41 | Mex$9,768.60 | 33 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$7,066.00 | Mex$7,681.10 +8.7% | 6.1% | Mex$8,951.79 | Mex$6,582.70 | Mex$9,690.09 | 34 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$6,695.44 | Mex$7,545.13 +12.7% | 6.1% | Mex$8,857.79 | Mex$6,513.57 | Mex$8,660.00 | 34 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$6,679.50 | Mex$7,387.46 +10.6% | 4.4% | Mex$8,128.75 | Mex$6,643.03 | Mex$8,036.27 | 34 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$6,503.90 | Mex$7,635.92 +17.4% | 4.7% | Mex$8,389.45 | Mex$6,856.09 | Mex$7,528.90 | 33 |
| May ’24 | Mex$6,848.87 | Mex$7,727.30 +12.8% | 4.5% | Mex$8,462.30 | Mex$6,974.23 | Mex$7,752.00 | 34 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$6,530.00 | Mex$7,723.46 +18.3% | 4.8% | Mex$8,542.78 | Mex$7,040.55 | Mex$7,965.83 | 34 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$6,407.77 | Mex$8,005.20 +24.9% | 5.6% | Mex$8,916.17 | Mex$6,800.47 | Mex$8,165.19 | 35 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$6,977.10 | Mex$7,933.42 +13.7% | 6.3% | Mex$8,887.52 | Mex$6,684.47 | Mex$7,825.88 | 35 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$6,750.00 | Mex$7,852.23 +16.3% | 7.5% | Mex$9,344.37 | Mex$6,137.19 | Mex$7,250.50 | 34 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$6,873.00 | Mex$7,698.54 +12.0% | 7.9% | Mex$9,204.33 | Mex$6,045.22 | Mex$7,118.00 | 35 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$6,541.00 | Mex$7,807.95 +19.4% | 7.7% | Mex$9,307.79 | Mex$6,113.17 | Mex$6,755.30 | 35 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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