Yum! Brands Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Yum! Brands is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8% and 6.9% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 10.6% per annum.

Key information

8.0%

Earnings growth rate

10.6%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	25.1%
Revenue growth rate	6.9%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BMV:YUM * - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	8,583	1,828	1,834	2,118	18
12/31/2025	8,055	1,703	1,655	1,918	25
12/31/2024	7,540	1,520	1,471	1,754	25
9/30/2024	7,223	1,526	1,367	1,624	N/A
6/30/2024	7,105	1,560	1,368	1,630	N/A
3/31/2024	7,029	1,611	1,345	1,617	N/A
12/31/2023	7,076	1,597	1,318	1,603	N/A
9/30/2023	7,059	1,505	1,307	1,607	N/A
6/30/2023	6,991	1,420	1,279	1,583	N/A
3/31/2023	6,940	1,226	1,224	1,523	N/A
12/31/2022	6,842	1,325	1,148	1,427	N/A
9/30/2022	6,713	1,284	1,139	1,389	N/A
6/30/2022	6,679	1,481	1,212	1,455	N/A
3/31/2022	6,645	1,648	1,408	1,635	N/A
12/31/2021	6,584	1,575	1,476	1,706	N/A
9/30/2021	6,437	1,577	1,545	1,744	N/A
6/30/2021	6,279	1,332	1,539	1,716	N/A
3/31/2021	5,875	1,147	1,221	1,391	N/A
12/31/2020	5,652	904	1,145	1,305	N/A
9/30/2020	5,603	1,060	1,099	1,285	N/A
6/30/2020	5,494	1,032	1,029	1,216	N/A
3/31/2020	5,606	1,115	1,066	1,253	N/A
12/31/2019	5,597	1,294	1,119	1,315	N/A
9/30/2019	5,461	1,140	1,067	1,263	N/A
6/30/2019	5,513	1,339	1,031	1,256	N/A
3/31/2019	5,571	1,371	1,051	1,287	N/A
12/31/2018	5,688	1,542	942	1,176	N/A
9/30/2018	5,707	1,644	871	1,108	N/A
6/30/2018	5,752	1,608	N/A	972	N/A
3/31/2018	5,832	1,493	N/A	931	N/A
12/31/2017	5,878	1,340	N/A	1,030	N/A
9/30/2017	6,187	1,212	N/A	1,030	N/A
6/30/2017	6,269	1,012	N/A	1,100	N/A
3/31/2017	6,330	1,072	N/A	1,227	N/A
12/31/2016	6,356	1,018	N/A	1,248	N/A
9/30/2016	1,756	628	N/A	332	N/A
6/30/2016	3,665	831	N/A	853	N/A
3/31/2016	5,261	800	N/A	1,006	N/A
12/31/2015	6,418	926	N/A	1,260	N/A
9/5/2015	13,151	932	N/A	2,254	N/A
6/13/2015	13,078	915	N/A	1,912	N/A
3/21/2015	13,177	1,014	N/A	1,995	N/A
12/27/2014	6,587	1,006	N/A	1,217	N/A
9/6/2014	13,461	1,458	N/A	2,198	N/A
6/14/2014	13,573	1,206	N/A	2,494	N/A
3/22/2014	13,273	1,153	N/A	2,308	N/A
12/28/2013	13,084	1,091	N/A	2,139	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: YUM *'s forecast earnings growth (8% per year) is below the savings rate (8.1%).

Earnings vs Market: YUM *'s earnings (8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the MX market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: YUM *'s earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: YUM *'s revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the MX market (7.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: YUM *'s revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if YUM *'s Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Yum! Brands Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.36 (vs US$1.48 in 3Q 2023)

Now 22% overvalued

Second quarter dividend of US$0.67 announced

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 6, 2024

Chief Executive Officer of KFC Division recently sold Mex$24m worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.30 (vs US$1.49 in 2Q 2023)

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) announces an Equity Buyback for $2,000 million worth of its shares.

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 7, 2024

Yum! Brands, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.67 per share at 2.0% yield

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.67 announced

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces Increase in Quarterly Dividend, Payable on March 8, 2024

Yum! Brands, Inc. Promotes Joe Park Its Chief Digital & Technology Officer Effective March 1, 2024

Yum! Brands, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 05, 2025

Upcoming dividend of US$0.60 per share at 1.9% yield

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 8, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.48 (vs US$1.16 in 3Q 2022)

Insider recently sold Mex$21m worth of stock

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces Board Appointments

High number of new directors

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.49 (vs US$0.78 in 2Q 2022)

Yum! Brands, Inc. Appoints Brett Biggs and Susan Doniz to Its Board of Directors, Effective from August 10, 2023

Taco Bell Announces Executive Changes

Insufficient new directors

Insufficient new directors

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 9, 2023

Insufficient new directors

Insufficient new directors

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$4.63 (vs US$5.30 in FY 2021)

Insufficient new directors

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on March 10, 2023

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces Resignation of Elane B. Stock as Director

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 9, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.16 (vs US$1.78 in 3Q 2021)

Smart Service Ltd. entered into a share and purchase agreement to acquire Russian KFC Business from Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM).

Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) announces an Equity Buyback for $2,000 million worth of its shares.

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Dividend for Common Stock, Payable on September 9, 2022

Yum! Brands, Inc. Appoints Allyson Park as Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, Effective August 15, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.78 (vs US$1.31 in 2Q 2021)

Pizza Hut Introduces New Oven-Baked Pastas to Menus Nationwide

An undisclosed local operator agreed to acquire Russian KFC Business from Yum! Brands, Inc..

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 10, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.38 (vs US$1.08 in 1Q 2021)

Yum! Brands, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 19, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Yum! Brands, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 04, 2022

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on March 11, 2022

Pizza Hut Launches New Spicy Lover's Pizza

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$1.78 (vs US$0.93 in 3Q 2020)

High number of new directors

High number of new directors

The Yum Brands Inc Offers Chicken Sandwich Taco Available at Limited Locations in Tennessee and North Carolina

High number of new directors

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$1.31 (vs US$0.68 in 2Q 2020)

High number of new directors

Yum! Brands, Inc.(NYSE:YUM) dropped from Russell Top 200 Value Index

Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) announces an Equity Buyback for $2,000 million worth of its shares.

Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Business Unit of Kvantum, Inc.

Beyond Meat Announces Global Strategic Partnership with Yum! Brands to Offer Signature Plant-Based Menu Items

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS US$2.99 (vs US$4.23 in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces the Promotion of Tracy Skeans to Chief Operating Officer

Yum! Brands, Inc.(NYSE:YUM) dropped from Russell 1000 Defensive Index

YUM! Brands, Inc. Announces Board Changes

Revenue beats expectations

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS US$0.93

Third-quarter earnings released: Revenue beats expectations

Third quarter earnings released

Yum! Brands, Inc. Announces Board Changes

First half earnings released

Yum! Brands, Inc.(NYSE:YUM) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth-Defensive Index

Yum! Brands, Inc.(NYSE:YUM) dropped from Russell 1000 Defensive Index

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts