Peloton Interactive, Inc.

BMV:PTON * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$65.5b

Peloton Interactive Valuation

Is PTON * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PTON * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$98.47
Fair Value
72.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PTON * (MX$170) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$98.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PTON * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PTON *?

Key metric: As PTON * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PTON *. This is calculated by dividing PTON *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is PTON *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesUS$2.69b
Market CapUS$3.15b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PTON *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PTON * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.5x
THULE Thule Group
3.9x14.0%SEK 36.6b
PII Polaris
0.4x0.3%US$3.1b
7951 Yamaha
1.1x1.6%JP¥506.9b
325 Bloks Group
12.7x21.5%HK$21.8b
PTON * Peloton Interactive
1.2x-0.1%Mex$3.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PTON * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PTON *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Leisure Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies30PS012345+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PTON * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PTON *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PTON * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PTON * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PTON * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$170.00
Mex$192.39
+13.2%
34.9%Mex$414.12Mex$103.53n/a17
Jan ’26Mex$185.60
Mex$183.26
-1.3%
36.4%Mex$401.47Mex$100.37n/a17
Dec ’25Mex$210.11
Mex$164.71
-21.6%
44.7%Mex$401.59Mex$50.20n/a17
Nov ’25Mex$147.56
Mex$154.94
+5.0%
51.2%Mex$405.53Mex$50.69n/a17
Oct ’25Mex$96.00
Mex$103.45
+7.8%
68.0%Mex$388.06Mex$38.81n/a19
Sep ’25Mex$88.91
Mex$104.19
+17.2%
68.5%Mex$392.79Mex$39.28n/a19
Aug ’25Mex$62.16
Mex$86.71
+39.5%
79.4%Mex$359.78Mex$35.98n/a19
Jul ’25Mex$61.99
Mex$88.95
+43.5%
78.3%Mex$365.91Mex$36.59n/a19
Jun ’25Mex$60.31
Mex$79.33
+31.5%
78.3%Mex$332.68Mex$33.27n/a20
May ’25Mex$54.00
Mex$99.74
+84.7%
61.7%Mex$342.54Mex$42.82n/a21
Apr ’25Mex$71.22
Mex$99.43
+39.6%
58.6%Mex$332.63Mex$49.89n/a21
Mar ’25Mex$77.64
Mex$104.37
+34.4%
56.5%Mex$342.06Mex$51.31n/a22
Feb ’25Mex$72.97
Mex$113.55
+55.6%
53.3%Mex$341.73Mex$51.26n/a22
Jan ’25Mex$101.60
Mex$127.32
+25.3%
50.7%Mex$343.05Mex$51.46Mex$185.6023
Dec ’24Mex$106.33
Mex$129.92
+22.2%
51.7%Mex$343.99Mex$51.60Mex$210.1123
Nov ’24Mex$84.00
Mex$140.61
+67.4%
38.7%Mex$252.75Mex$72.21Mex$147.5622
Oct ’24Mex$88.00
Mex$142.22
+61.6%
37.1%Mex$244.03Mex$69.72Mex$96.0022
Sep ’24Mex$112.50
Mex$147.26
+30.9%
42.7%Mex$341.03Mex$68.21Mex$88.9122
Aug ’24Mex$162.00
Mex$205.64
+26.9%
37.6%Mex$341.54Mex$76.85Mex$62.1624
Jul ’24Mex$131.01
Mex$205.64
+57.0%
37.6%Mex$341.54Mex$76.85Mex$61.9924
Jun ’24Mex$140.35
Mex$217.22
+54.8%
34.8%Mex$349.76Mex$78.70Mex$60.3124
May ’24Mex$153.50
Mex$274.98
+79.1%
31.5%Mex$394.43Mex$80.68Mex$54.0024
Apr ’24Mex$202.00
Mex$279.39
+38.3%
31.1%Mex$403.21Mex$82.47Mex$71.2225
Mar ’24Mex$237.49
Mex$294.47
+24.0%
30.9%Mex$417.32Mex$85.36Mex$77.6425
Feb ’24Mex$307.93
Mex$245.50
-20.3%
31.4%Mex$372.42Mex$83.79Mex$72.9725
Jan ’24Mex$156.65
Mex$248.40
+58.6%
27.8%Mex$392.78Mex$98.20Mex$101.6027
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Mex$190.99
Fair Value
11.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 10:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Peloton Interactive, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Jasper HellwegArgus Research Company
Jonathan KompBaird