Peloton Interactive Valuation
Is PTON * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PTON * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: PTON * (MX$196.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$106.12)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PTON * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PTON *?
Key metric: As PTON * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is PTON *'s PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 1.4x |
| Sales | US$2.69b |
| Market Cap | US$3.64b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -24.2x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does PTON *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.6x | ||
THULE Thule Group | 4x | 11.5% | SEK 37.5b |
7951 Yamaha | 1.1x | 1.7% | JP¥536.2b |
PII Polaris | 0.5x | -0.2% | US$3.8b |
VSTO Vista Outdoor | 1x | 2.4% | US$2.6b |
PTON * Peloton Interactive | 1.4x | -0.2% | Mex$3.6b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PTON * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does PTON *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Leisure Industry?
| 16 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PTON * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (1.1x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PTON *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 1.4x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 1x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PTON * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$196.92 | Mex$164.71 -16.4% | 44.7% | Mex$401.59 | Mex$50.20 | n/a | 17 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$147.56 | Mex$154.94 +5.0% | 51.2% | Mex$405.53 | Mex$50.69 | n/a | 17 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$96.00 | Mex$103.45 +7.8% | 68.0% | Mex$388.06 | Mex$38.81 | n/a | 19 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$88.91 | Mex$101.21 +13.8% | 68.5% | Mex$381.54 | Mex$38.15 | n/a | 19 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$62.16 | Mex$86.71 +39.5% | 79.4% | Mex$359.78 | Mex$35.98 | n/a | 19 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$61.99 | Mex$88.95 +43.5% | 78.3% | Mex$365.91 | Mex$36.59 | n/a | 19 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$60.31 | Mex$79.33 +31.5% | 78.3% | Mex$332.68 | Mex$33.27 | n/a | 20 |
| May ’25 | Mex$54.00 | Mex$99.74 +84.7% | 61.7% | Mex$342.54 | Mex$42.82 | n/a | 21 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$71.22 | Mex$99.43 +39.6% | 58.6% | Mex$332.63 | Mex$49.89 | n/a | 21 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$77.64 | Mex$104.37 +34.4% | 56.5% | Mex$342.06 | Mex$51.31 | n/a | 22 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$72.97 | Mex$113.55 +55.6% | 53.3% | Mex$341.73 | Mex$51.26 | n/a | 22 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$101.60 | Mex$127.32 +25.3% | 50.7% | Mex$343.05 | Mex$51.46 | n/a | 23 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$106.33 | Mex$129.92 +22.2% | 51.7% | Mex$343.99 | Mex$51.60 | n/a | 23 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$84.00 | Mex$140.61 +67.4% | 38.7% | Mex$252.75 | Mex$72.21 | Mex$147.56 | 22 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$88.00 | Mex$142.22 +61.6% | 37.1% | Mex$244.03 | Mex$69.72 | Mex$96.00 | 22 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$112.50 | Mex$147.26 +30.9% | 42.7% | Mex$341.03 | Mex$68.21 | Mex$88.91 | 22 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$162.00 | Mex$205.64 +26.9% | 37.6% | Mex$341.54 | Mex$76.85 | Mex$62.16 | 24 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$131.01 | Mex$205.64 +57.0% | 37.6% | Mex$341.54 | Mex$76.85 | Mex$61.99 | 24 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$140.35 | Mex$217.22 +54.8% | 34.8% | Mex$349.76 | Mex$78.70 | Mex$60.31 | 24 |
| May ’24 | Mex$153.50 | Mex$274.98 +79.1% | 31.5% | Mex$394.43 | Mex$80.68 | Mex$54.00 | 24 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$202.00 | Mex$279.39 +38.3% | 31.1% | Mex$403.21 | Mex$82.47 | Mex$71.22 | 25 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$237.49 | Mex$294.47 +24.0% | 30.9% | Mex$417.32 | Mex$85.36 | Mex$77.64 | 25 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$307.93 | Mex$245.50 -20.3% | 31.4% | Mex$372.42 | Mex$83.79 | Mex$72.97 | 25 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$156.65 | Mex$248.40 +58.6% | 27.8% | Mex$392.78 | Mex$98.20 | Mex$101.60 | 27 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$227.00 | Mex$246.89 +8.8% | 28.4% | Mex$390.93 | Mex$97.73 | Mex$106.33 | 26 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$178.00 | Mex$302.47 +69.9% | 34.0% | Mex$495.36 | Mex$158.52 | Mex$84.00 | 26 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.