Mattel Valuation
Is MAT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MAT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MAT * (MX$320) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$383.9)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MAT * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAT *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is MAT *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$6.60b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.5x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9x |
PEG Ratio | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MAT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 13.8x | ||
BC Brunswick | 14x | 13.6% | US$5.4b |
PII Polaris | 12x | 12.2% | US$4.7b |
DOO BRP | 9.5x | 4.1% | CA$7.1b |
GOLF Acushnet Holdings | 19.6x | 4.6% | US$3.9b |
MAT * Mattel | 21.7x | 16.0% | Mex$6.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MAT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Leisure Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (16.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MAT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 21.7x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MAT *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | n/a | Mex$405.48 0% | 10.0% | Mex$464.14 | Mex$343.80 | n/a | 14 |
Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$386.74 0% | 9.3% | Mex$433.13 | Mex$333.18 | n/a | 15 |
Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$391.25 0% | 10.1% | Mex$443.21 | Mex$323.88 | n/a | 14 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$392.45 0% | 10.5% | Mex$448.14 | Mex$327.49 | n/a | 13 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$319.00 | Mex$415.33 +30.2% | 8.8% | Mex$454.31 | Mex$331.99 | n/a | 13 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$320.00 | Mex$408.60 +27.7% | 8.8% | Mex$446.95 | Mex$326.62 | n/a | 13 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$365.37 | Mex$423.38 +15.9% | 8.8% | Mex$463.12 | Mex$338.43 | n/a | 13 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$391.55 | Mex$437.67 +11.8% | 6.2% | Mex$477.45 | Mex$371.35 | n/a | 12 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$375.00 | Mex$412.20 +9.9% | 5.9% | Mex$436.63 | Mex$352.66 | n/a | 11 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$360.25 | Mex$409.48 +13.7% | 5.6% | Mex$435.35 | Mex$351.63 | n/a | 11 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$390.46 0% | 11.0% | Mex$444.91 | Mex$308.02 | n/a | 11 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$405.14 0% | 11.5% | Mex$472.18 | Mex$314.79 | n/a | 12 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$416.53 0% | 11.5% | Mex$485.46 | Mex$323.64 | n/a | 12 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$416.77 0% | 11.4% | Mex$486.60 | Mex$324.40 | n/a | 12 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$432.60 0% | 11.4% | Mex$496.15 | Mex$330.77 | n/a | 12 |
Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$485.58 0% | 14.0% | Mex$614.49 | Mex$353.80 | n/a | 13 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$515.13 0% | 14.0% | Mex$638.70 | Mex$367.74 | Mex$319.00 | 13 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$355.00 | Mex$515.13 +45.1% | 14.0% | Mex$638.70 | Mex$367.74 | Mex$320.00 | 13 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$366.00 | Mex$544.13 +48.7% | 12.6% | Mex$653.88 | Mex$416.10 | Mex$365.37 | 13 |
Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$629.43 0% | 16.5% | Mex$905.35 | Mex$482.85 | Mex$391.55 | 14 |
Sep ’23 | n/a | Mex$629.43 0% | 16.5% | Mex$905.35 | Mex$482.85 | Mex$375.00 | 14 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$640.66 0% | 17.1% | Mex$920.84 | Mex$491.12 | Mex$360.25 | 13 |
Jul ’23 | n/a | Mex$651.76 0% | 14.6% | Mex$911.06 | Mex$526.39 | n/a | 13 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$492.25 | Mex$649.97 +32.0% | 14.1% | Mex$904.94 | Mex$522.85 | n/a | 14 |
May ’23 | n/a | Mex$651.66 0% | 14.4% | Mex$919.47 | Mex$531.25 | n/a | 14 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$471.00 | Mex$626.56 +33.0% | 14.5% | Mex$895.09 | Mex$517.16 | n/a | 14 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.