Aterian Valuation
Is ATER * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ATER * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATER *'s fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATER *'s fair value for valuation analysis.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATER *?
Key metric: As ATER * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is ATER *'s PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Sales | US$107.19m |
| Market Cap | US$18.11m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.09x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -0.6x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does ATER *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 3.4x | ||
URBI * Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos. de | 8.2x | n/a | Mex$1.3b |
CADU A Corpovael. de | 0.2x | 6.5% | Mex$1.1b |
VASCONI * Grupo Vasconia | 0.02x | n/a | Mex$43.5m |
1538 Jenn Feng Industrial Tools | 5.1x | n/a | NT$571.7m |
ATER * Aterian | 0.2x | 1.1% | Mex$18.1m |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ATER * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does ATER *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Durables Industry?
| 4 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ATER * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the South American Consumer Durables industry average (0.5x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ATER *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.3x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ATER * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$174.94 0% | 41.2% | Mex$246.98 | Mex$102.91 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$57.00 | Mex$163.62 +187.1% | 41.2% | Mex$231.00 | Mex$96.25 | n/a | 2 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$57.03 | Mex$163.62 +186.9% | 41.2% | Mex$231.00 | Mex$96.25 | n/a | 2 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$56.01 | Mex$182.06 +225.1% | 34.1% | Mex$226.01 | Mex$94.17 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$55.15 | Mex$163.35 +196.2% | 34.1% | Mex$202.77 | Mex$84.49 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$50.00 | Mex$163.35 +226.7% | 34.1% | Mex$202.77 | Mex$84.49 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$41.51 | Mex$163.35 +293.5% | 34.1% | Mex$202.77 | Mex$84.49 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$44.00 | Mex$167.99 +281.8% | 28.3% | Mex$201.58 | Mex$100.79 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$95.28 | Mex$153.55 +61.2% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$62.40 | Mex$153.55 +146.1% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$72.24 | Mex$153.55 +112.6% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | n/a | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$72.00 | Mex$153.55 +113.3% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$59.88 | Mex$153.55 +156.4% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | Mex$57.00 | 2 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$66.60 | Mex$153.55 +130.6% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | Mex$57.03 | 2 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$73.80 | Mex$153.55 +108.1% | 33.3% | Mex$204.74 | Mex$102.37 | Mex$56.01 | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$105.12 | Mex$250.22 +138.0% | 60.0% | Mex$400.35 | Mex$100.09 | Mex$55.15 | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$87.00 | Mex$300.28 +245.1% | 40.4% | Mex$421.44 | Mex$179.11 | Mex$50.00 | 2 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$123.72 | Mex$300.28 +142.7% | 40.4% | Mex$421.44 | Mex$179.11 | Mex$41.51 | 2 |
| May ’24 | Mex$169.20 | Mex$469.19 +177.3% | 39.2% | Mex$649.64 | Mex$216.55 | Mex$41.07 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$180.00 | Mex$603.82 +235.5% | 36.6% | Mex$911.43 | Mex$227.86 | Mex$44.00 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$252.00 | Mex$629.62 +149.8% | 33.1% | Mex$883.68 | Mex$276.15 | Mex$95.28 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$338.40 | Mex$581.85 +71.9% | 40.5% | Mex$900.92 | Mex$281.54 | Mex$62.40 | 6 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$182.40 | Mex$650.01 +256.4% | 45.7% | Mex$928.58 | Mex$290.18 | Mex$72.24 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$255.60 | Mex$650.01 +154.3% | 45.7% | Mex$928.58 | Mex$290.18 | Mex$72.00 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$263.04 | Mex$1,109.92 +322.0% | 31.8% | Mex$1,689.01 | Mex$603.22 | Mex$59.88 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.