Upwork Valuation

Is UPWK * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UPWK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UPWK * (MX$330.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$785.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UPWK * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPWK *?

Key metric: As UPWK * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UPWK *. This is calculated by dividing UPWK *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is UPWK *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25x
EarningsUS$85.79m
Market CapUS$2.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UPWK *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UPWK * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.6x
6028 TechnoPro Holdings
18.5x12.4%JP¥285.8b
4194 Visional
24x12.4%JP¥311.2b
2412 Benefit One
64.2x35.5%JP¥343.8b
NSP Insperity
23.8x-0.4%US$2.8b
UPWK * Upwork
25x16.6%Mex$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UPWK * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the peer average (32.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UPWK *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Professional Services Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies71PE01632486480+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UPWK * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the Global Professional Services industry average (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UPWK *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UPWK * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UPWK *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UPWK * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$356.11
0%
17.0%Mex$484.60Mex$222.11n/a11
Nov ’25Mex$248.00
Mex$284.86
+14.9%
20.4%Mex$421.82Mex$220.95n/a11
Oct ’25Mex$205.00
Mex$273.19
+33.3%
19.7%Mex$412.47Mex$216.05n/a11
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$262.53
0%
18.5%Mex$391.25Mex$204.94n/a11
Aug ’25Mex$216.00
Mex$323.82
+49.9%
19.0%Mex$438.40Mex$219.20n/a11
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$324.25
0%
16.2%Mex$425.25Mex$230.34n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$316.09
0%
13.6%Mex$407.86Mex$254.91n/a10
May ’25n/a
Mex$318.93
0%
10.8%Mex$377.23Mex$257.20n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$311.25
0%
10.8%Mex$368.15Mex$251.01n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$316.14
0%
10.4%Mex$375.02Mex$255.70n/a11
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$293.79
0%
10.5%Mex$341.97Mex$239.38n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$284.34
0%
11.1%Mex$331.99Mex$227.15n/a11
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$290.85
0%
11.1%Mex$339.59Mex$232.35n/a11
Nov ’24Mex$186.00
Mex$250.09
+34.5%
19.2%Mex$323.85Mex$143.94Mex$248.0010
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$234.81
0%
19.9%Mex$301.90Mex$134.18Mex$205.009
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$234.81
0%
19.9%Mex$301.90Mex$134.18n/a9
Aug ’24Mex$173.00
Mex$200.93
+16.1%
23.9%Mex$284.65Mex$133.96Mex$216.0010
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$200.30
0%
24.8%Mex$291.03Mex$136.96n/a10
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$206.89
0%
26.0%Mex$302.25Mex$142.23n/a11
May ’24n/a
Mex$331.88
0%
22.9%Mex$518.88Mex$240.91n/a11
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$331.88
0%
22.9%Mex$518.88Mex$240.91n/a11
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$331.88
0%
22.9%Mex$518.88Mex$240.91n/a11
Feb ’24Mex$220.00
Mex$365.65
+66.2%
30.0%Mex$633.11Mex$223.45n/a11
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$404.87
0%
27.2%Mex$664.13Mex$273.46n/a11
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$424.54
0%
25.6%Mex$674.50Mex$277.74n/a10
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$424.54
0%
25.6%Mex$674.50Mex$277.74Mex$186.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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