Virgin Galactic Holdings Valuation
Is SPCE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SPCE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SPCE * (MX$15.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$205.74)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SPCE * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPCE *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is SPCE *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$365.03m |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does SPCE *'s PB Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 2x | ||
ARISTOS A Consorcio Aristos. de | 1.5x | n/a | Mex$6.9b |
ELEMAT * Elementia Materiales S. A. B. de C. V | 1x | n/a | Mex$11.5b |
AGUA * Grupo Rotoplas. de | 2.2x | 23.6% | Mex$13.8b |
CERAMIC B Internacional de Cerámica. de | 3.1x | n/a | Mex$13.5b |
SPCE * Virgin Galactic Holdings | 0.7x | 42.6% | Mex$365.0m |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: SPCE * is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SPCE *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Aerospace & Defense Industry?
Price-To-Book vs Industry: SPCE * is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.7x) compared to the Global Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.8x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SPCE *'s PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PB Ratio | 0.7x |
Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPCE *'s Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$15.38 | Mex$44.11 +186.8% | 45.9% | Mex$83.02 | Mex$16.60 | n/a | 8 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$23.70 | Mex$46.88 +97.8% | 40.4% | Mex$85.24 | Mex$29.83 | n/a | 8 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$29.16 | Mex$46.88 +60.8% | 40.4% | Mex$85.24 | Mex$29.83 | n/a | 8 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$30.99 | Mex$49.89 +61.0% | 39.2% | Mex$84.92 | Mex$29.72 | n/a | 8 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$41.16 | Mex$46.22 +12.3% | 48.9% | Mex$86.00 | Mex$17.20 | n/a | 8 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$40.15 | Mex$46.22 +15.1% | 48.9% | Mex$86.00 | Mex$17.20 | n/a | 8 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$26.58 | Mex$79.78 +200.1% | 48.1% | Mex$145.88 | Mex$18.24 | n/a | 8 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$31.21 | Mex$75.98 +143.4% | 39.6% | Mex$136.76 | Mex$51.29 | n/a | 9 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$44.01 | Mex$75.98 +72.6% | 39.6% | Mex$136.76 | Mex$51.29 | n/a | 9 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$69.96 | Mex$79.20 +13.2% | 40.3% | Mex$142.73 | Mex$53.52 | n/a | 9 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$66.70 | Mex$79.20 +18.7% | 40.3% | Mex$142.73 | Mex$53.52 | n/a | 9 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$65.44 | Mex$79.20 +21.0% | 40.3% | Mex$142.73 | Mex$53.52 | n/a | 9 |
May ’24 | Mex$65.04 | Mex$81.75 +25.7% | 48.0% | Mex$163.50 | Mex$45.42 | n/a | 9 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$73.00 | Mex$90.88 +24.5% | 41.8% | Mex$168.64 | Mex$46.84 | Mex$23.70 | 10 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$86.04 | Mex$90.51 +5.2% | 37.9% | Mex$162.93 | Mex$54.31 | Mex$29.16 | 10 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$105.06 | Mex$93.37 -11.1% | 45.1% | Mex$205.42 | Mex$56.02 | Mex$30.99 | 11 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$66.77 | Mex$113.48 +70.0% | 50.5% | Mex$230.81 | Mex$57.70 | Mex$41.16 | 10 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$97.80 | Mex$113.48 +16.0% | 50.5% | Mex$230.81 | Mex$57.70 | Mex$40.15 | 10 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$94.60 | Mex$137.75 +45.6% | 51.8% | Mex$279.50 | Mex$64.88 | Mex$26.58 | 10 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$95.61 | Mex$156.33 +63.5% | 49.2% | Mex$278.42 | Mex$64.63 | Mex$31.21 | 9 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$117.68 | Mex$164.86 +40.1% | 44.5% | Mex$281.66 | Mex$65.39 | Mex$44.01 | 9 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$151.55 | Mex$203.85 +34.5% | 36.7% | Mex$333.74 | Mex$83.43 | Mex$69.96 | 11 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$126.97 | Mex$195.80 +54.2% | 37.3% | Mex$317.61 | Mex$79.40 | Mex$66.70 | 11 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$133.78 | Mex$197.97 +48.0% | 35.6% | Mex$318.19 | Mex$99.44 | Mex$65.44 | 11 |
May ’23 | Mex$153.75 | Mex$314.17 +104.3% | 51.2% | Mex$721.65 | Mex$168.39 | Mex$65.04 | 11 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$197.55 | Mex$318.86 +61.4% | 51.2% | Mex$732.42 | Mex$170.90 | Mex$73.00 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.