Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

BMV:SPCE * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$4.2b

Virgin Galactic Holdings Valuation

Is SPCE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPCE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPCE * (MX$148.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2022)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPCE * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPCE *?

Key metric: As SPCE * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SPCE *. This is calculated by dividing SPCE *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is SPCE *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio21.9x
SalesUS$9.42m
Market CapUS$206.46m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SPCE *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SPCE * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
ARISTOS A Consorcio Aristos. de
1.4xn/aMex$6.9b
GMD * Grupo Mexicano de Desarrollo
0.4xn/aMex$2.0b
AGUA * Grupo Rotoplas. de
0.8x9.9%Mex$8.9b
ARYT Aryt Industries
7.4xn/a₪596.0m
SPCE * Virgin Galactic Holdings
21.9x68.1%Mex$206.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SPCE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (21.9x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SPCE *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Aerospace & Defense Industry?

47 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies47PS03.26.49.612.816+
47 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SPCE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (21.9x) compared to the Global Aerospace & Defense industry average (3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPCE *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPCE * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio21.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPCE *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPCE * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$148.27
Mex$309.61
+108.8%
81.0%Mex$827.86Mex$100.96n/a6
Nov ’25Mex$135.47
Mex$246.84
+82.2%
123.0%Mex$915.91Mex$19.49n/a6
Oct ’25Mex$118.52
Mex$261.53
+120.7%
130.2%Mex$1,014.21Mex$19.14n/a6
Sep ’25Mex$131.24
Mex$351.57
+167.9%
100.9%Mex$998.22Mex$18.83n/a6
Aug ’25Mex$119.43
Mex$705.86
+491.0%
62.5%Mex$1,417.62Mex$141.76n/a6
Jul ’25Mex$145.00
Mex$802.37
+453.4%
54.5%Mex$1,469.98Mex$275.62n/a6
Jun ’25Mex$296.00
Mex$773.36
+161.3%
49.5%Mex$1,344.97Mex$252.18n/a7
May ’25Mex$301.40
Mex$882.13
+192.7%
45.9%Mex$1,660.48Mex$332.10n/a8
Apr ’25Mex$474.00
Mex$937.64
+97.8%
40.4%Mex$1,704.80Mex$596.68n/a8
Mar ’25Mex$583.20
Mex$937.64
+60.8%
40.4%Mex$1,704.80Mex$596.68n/a8
Feb ’25Mex$619.80
Mex$997.83
+61.0%
39.2%Mex$1,698.44Mex$594.45n/a8
Jan ’25Mex$823.20
Mex$924.47
+12.3%
48.9%Mex$1,719.94Mex$343.99n/a8
Dec ’24Mex$803.00
Mex$924.47
+15.1%
48.9%Mex$1,719.94Mex$343.99n/a8
Nov ’24Mex$531.60
Mex$1,595.59
+200.1%
48.1%Mex$2,917.65Mex$364.71Mex$135.478
Oct ’24Mex$624.20
Mex$1,519.59
+143.4%
39.6%Mex$2,735.26Mex$1,025.72Mex$118.529
Sep ’24Mex$880.20
Mex$1,519.59
+72.6%
39.6%Mex$2,735.26Mex$1,025.72Mex$131.249
Aug ’24Mex$1,399.20
Mex$1,560.72
+11.5%
40.3%Mex$2,812.82Mex$1,054.81Mex$119.439
Jul ’24Mex$1,334.00
Mex$1,560.72
+17.0%
40.3%Mex$2,812.82Mex$1,054.81Mex$145.009
Jun ’24Mex$1,308.80
Mex$1,560.72
+19.2%
40.3%Mex$2,812.82Mex$1,054.81Mex$296.009
May ’24Mex$1,300.80
Mex$1,634.97
+25.7%
48.0%Mex$3,269.93Mex$908.32Mex$301.409
Apr ’24Mex$1,460.00
Mex$1,817.57
+24.5%
41.8%Mex$3,372.80Mex$936.89Mex$474.0010
Mar ’24Mex$1,720.80
Mex$1,810.29
+5.2%
37.9%Mex$3,258.52Mex$1,086.17Mex$583.2010
Feb ’24Mex$2,101.20
Mex$1,867.43
-11.1%
45.1%Mex$4,108.35Mex$1,120.46Mex$619.8011
Jan ’24Mex$1,335.40
Mex$2,269.66
+70.0%
50.5%Mex$4,616.26Mex$1,154.06Mex$823.2010
Dec ’23Mex$1,956.00
Mex$2,269.66
+16.0%
50.5%Mex$4,616.26Mex$1,154.06Mex$803.0010
Nov ’23Mex$1,892.00
Mex$2,755.05
+45.6%
51.8%Mex$5,589.95Mex$1,297.67Mex$531.6010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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