Boeing Valuation

Is BA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BA * (MX$2833.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4694.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BA * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BA *?

Key metric: As BA * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BA *. This is calculated by dividing BA *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is BA *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.4x
SalesUS$73.29b
Market CapUS$104.64b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BA *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
AIR Airbus
1.6x10.3%€109.8b
LMT Lockheed Martin
1.8x3.2%US$132.2b
GD General Dynamics
1.7x4.7%US$86.2b
SAF Safran
3.6x10.7%€91.9b
BA * Boeing
1.4x13.3%Mex$104.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BA * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BA *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Aerospace & Defense Industry?

45 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies45PS03.26.49.612.816+
45 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BA * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the Global Aerospace & Defense industry average (3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BA *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BA * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$2,833.10
Mex$3,754.49
+32.5%
17.2%Mex$5,145.35Mex$1,749.42n/a24
Nov ’25Mex$3,120.50
Mex$3,655.52
+17.1%
17.1%Mex$5,004.00Mex$1,721.38n/a24
Oct ’25Mex$2,988.00
Mex$4,118.00
+37.8%
14.8%Mex$5,393.63Mex$2,157.45n/a24
Sep ’25Mex$3,387.00
Mex$4,184.43
+23.5%
10.8%Mex$5,223.85Mex$3,514.22n/a25
Aug ’25Mex$3,348.17
Mex$4,144.17
+23.8%
11.2%Mex$5,162.33Mex$3,285.12n/a25
Jul ’25Mex$3,428.99
Mex$4,045.46
+18.0%
11.8%Mex$5,101.31Mex$3,246.29n/a25
Jun ’25Mex$2,995.00
Mex$3,807.09
+27.1%
13.9%Mex$5,087.13Mex$2,967.49n/a27
May ’25Mex$2,900.00
Mex$3,843.14
+32.5%
16.1%Mex$5,105.34Mex$2,382.49n/a28
Apr ’25Mex$3,160.00
Mex$4,053.52
+28.3%
10.5%Mex$4,989.45Mex$3,326.30n/a28
Mar ’25Mex$3,413.00
Mex$4,422.03
+29.6%
9.7%Mex$5,135.40Mex$3,423.60n/a28
Feb ’25Mex$3,582.00
Mex$4,410.04
+23.1%
10.7%Mex$5,382.25Mex$3,246.44n/a29
Jan ’25Mex$4,405.00
Mex$4,550.60
+3.3%
12.2%Mex$5,436.35Mex$3,227.83n/a29
Dec ’24Mex$4,020.00
Mex$4,265.45
+6.1%
9.6%Mex$5,159.10Mex$3,267.43n/a29
Nov ’24Mex$3,386.37
Mex$4,280.89
+26.4%
9.9%Mex$4,898.38Mex$3,384.34Mex$3,120.5027
Oct ’24Mex$3,366.00
Mex$4,494.61
+33.5%
10.8%Mex$5,481.89Mex$3,607.43Mex$2,988.0023
Sep ’24Mex$3,750.00
Mex$4,301.18
+14.7%
10.1%Mex$5,199.32Mex$3,522.12Mex$3,387.0022
Aug ’24Mex$4,010.00
Mex$4,277.07
+6.7%
10.6%Mex$5,227.00Mex$3,540.87Mex$3,348.1721
Jul ’24Mex$3,617.82
Mex$4,029.86
+11.4%
9.8%Mex$5,026.70Mex$3,109.30Mex$3,428.9924
Jun ’24Mex$3,666.00
Mex$4,164.81
+13.6%
9.3%Mex$5,147.32Mex$3,183.91Mex$2,995.0022
May ’24Mex$3,698.96
Mex$4,203.85
+13.6%
11.5%Mex$5,251.27Mex$2,943.24Mex$2,900.0021
Apr ’24Mex$3,822.75
Mex$4,113.70
+7.6%
10.2%Mex$4,703.85Mex$2,939.45Mex$3,160.0020
Mar ’24Mex$3,696.80
Mex$4,315.09
+16.7%
10.2%Mex$4,942.64Mex$3,088.67Mex$3,413.0021
Feb ’24Mex$3,998.00
Mex$4,230.67
+5.8%
12.3%Mex$4,898.76Mex$3,003.07Mex$3,582.0020
Jan ’24Mex$3,630.01
Mex$4,005.67
+10.3%
14.3%Mex$4,911.20Mex$2,377.02Mex$4,405.0020
Dec ’23Mex$3,369.06
Mex$3,737.82
+10.9%
15.7%Mex$4,860.50Mex$2,352.48Mex$4,020.0020
Nov ’23Mex$2,835.00
Mex$3,749.73
+32.3%
17.3%Mex$4,953.60Mex$1,941.81Mex$3,386.3721

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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