Grupo Rotoplas. de Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AGUA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AGUA * (MX$25.35) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$56.72)

Is AGUA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGUA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGUA * (MX$25.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$56.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGUA * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGUA *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for AGUA *. This is calculated by dividing AGUA *'s market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is AGUA *'s n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	Mex$12.07b

AGUA * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.6x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGUA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AGUA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	32.5x
CERAMIC B Internacional de Cerámica. de	50.1x	n/a	Mex$13.5b
ELEMAT * Elementia Materiales S. A. B. de C. V	16x	n/a	Mex$11.5b
LAMOSA * Grupo Lamosa. de	25.6x	n/a	Mex$41.2b
ARISTOS A Consorcio Aristos. de	38.4x	n/a	Mex$6.9b
AGUA * Grupo Rotoplas. de	18.5x	21.0%	Mex$12.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGUA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (38x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGUA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Building Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGUA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the Global Building industry average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGUA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGUA * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18.5x
Fair PE Ratio	15.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGUA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AGUA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$25.35	Mex$42.67 +68.3%	15.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$34.00	n/a	3
Aug ’25	Mex$25.28	Mex$42.67 +68.8%	15.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$34.00	n/a	3
Jul ’25	Mex$26.97	Mex$43.50 +61.3%	13.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$34.00	n/a	4
Jun ’25	Mex$29.13	Mex$43.50 +49.3%	13.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$34.00	n/a	4
May ’25	Mex$29.03	Mex$43.50 +49.8%	13.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$34.00	n/a	4
Apr ’25	Mex$29.93	Mex$45.15 +50.9%	7.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Mar ’25	Mex$29.46	Mex$45.15 +53.3%	7.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Feb ’25	Mex$27.67	Mex$44.40 +60.5%	7.8%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Jan ’25	Mex$30.06	Mex$44.40 +47.7%	7.8%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Dec ’24	Mex$26.51	Mex$44.40 +67.5%	7.8%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Nov ’24	Mex$24.77	Mex$44.40 +79.2%	7.8%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Oct ’24	Mex$25.11	Mex$44.65 +77.8%	7.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Sep ’24	Mex$25.59	Mex$44.65 +74.5%	7.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	n/a	4
Aug ’24	Mex$26.32	Mex$44.65 +69.6%	7.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	Mex$25.28	4
Jul ’24	Mex$25.51	Mex$44.65 +75.0%	7.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	Mex$26.97	4
Jun ’24	Mex$27.70	Mex$44.65 +61.2%	7.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	Mex$29.13	4
May ’24	Mex$25.05	Mex$44.65 +78.2%	7.6%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	Mex$29.03	4
Apr ’24	Mex$27.58	Mex$44.90 +62.8%	7.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$40.60	Mex$29.93	4
Mar ’24	Mex$30.39	Mex$44.63 +46.8%	8.4%	Mex$50.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$29.46	4
Feb ’24	Mex$28.75	Mex$44.40 +54.4%	8.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$27.67	4
Jan ’24	Mex$31.49	Mex$44.40 +41.0%	8.5%	Mex$50.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$30.06	4
Dec ’23	Mex$32.99	Mex$43.90 +33.1%	7.0%	Mex$48.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$26.51	4
Nov ’23	Mex$29.80	Mex$43.90 +47.3%	7.0%	Mex$48.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$24.77	4
Oct ’23	Mex$28.80	Mex$43.33 +50.4%	7.8%	Mex$48.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$25.11	4
Sep ’23	Mex$26.79	Mex$43.33 +61.7%	7.8%	Mex$48.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$25.59	4
Aug ’23	Mex$29.29	Mex$43.33 +47.9%	7.8%	Mex$48.00	Mex$39.50	Mex$26.32	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.