Ford Motor Valuation
Is F * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of F * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: F * (MX$220) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$122.53)
Significantly Below Fair Value: F * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is F *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$51.06b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 16x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does F *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 15.8x | ||
GM General Motors | 4.9x | -3.9% | US$52.3b |
7267 Honda Motor | 9x | 5.6% | JP¥8.4t |
500570 Tata Motors | 19.8x | 19.0% | ₹3.7t |
MARUTI Maruti Suzuki India | 29.6x | 8.5% | ₹4.0t |
F * Ford Motor | 13x | 13.8% | Mex$51.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: F * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does F *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: F * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is F *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 13x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate F *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$220.00 | Mex$238.60 +8.5% | 18.6% | Mex$357.42 | Mex$170.20 | n/a | 24 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$220.81 | Mex$228.89 +3.7% | 19.2% | Mex$350.90 | Mex$167.10 | n/a | 24 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$210.65 | Mex$232.37 +10.3% | 20.0% | Mex$357.72 | Mex$170.34 | n/a | 23 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$205.00 | Mex$235.62 +14.9% | 26.8% | Mex$378.49 | Mex$163.44 | n/a | 24 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$207.90 | Mex$231.75 +11.5% | 26.3% | Mex$375.52 | Mex$162.16 | n/a | 22 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$182.00 | Mex$241.50 +32.7% | 25.5% | Mex$378.33 | Mex$163.37 | n/a | 21 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$177.00 | Mex$257.23 +45.3% | 24.9% | Mex$396.66 | Mex$171.28 | n/a | 21 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$217.00 | Mex$264.42 +21.9% | 22.0% | Mex$394.43 | Mex$188.64 | n/a | 21 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$207.47 | Mex$259.55 +25.1% | 23.1% | Mex$392.00 | Mex$187.48 | n/a | 21 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$226.00 | Mex$247.93 +9.7% | 22.3% | Mex$385.12 | Mex$184.19 | n/a | 20 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$259.50 | Mex$245.38 -5.4% | 23.1% | Mex$382.67 | Mex$173.94 | n/a | 20 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$211.01 | Mex$246.30 +16.7% | 23.3% | Mex$388.52 | Mex$176.60 | n/a | 20 |
| May ’24 | Mex$212.30 | Mex$247.53 +16.6% | 21.8% | Mex$378.85 | Mex$180.40 | n/a | 21 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$226.00 | Mex$257.77 +14.1% | 24.5% | Mex$400.98 | Mex$182.26 | Mex$220.81 | 21 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$222.85 | Mex$262.52 +17.8% | 23.8% | Mex$404.27 | Mex$183.76 | Mex$210.65 | 21 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$257.98 | Mex$279.32 +8.3% | 27.0% | Mex$446.90 | Mex$186.21 | Mex$205.00 | 20 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$225.00 | Mex$300.93 +33.7% | 29.6% | Mex$540.12 | Mex$192.90 | Mex$207.90 | 20 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$270.97 | Mex$300.93 +11.1% | 29.6% | Mex$540.12 | Mex$192.90 | Mex$182.00 | 20 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$263.51 | Mex$308.11 +16.9% | 29.8% | Mex$554.80 | Mex$198.14 | Mex$177.00 | 20 |
| Oct ’23 | Mex$226.01 | Mex$338.17 +49.6% | 28.1% | Mex$563.44 | Mex$201.23 | Mex$217.00 | 20 |
| Sep ’23 | Mex$304.00 | Mex$346.67 +14.0% | 29.8% | Mex$644.79 | Mex$201.50 | Mex$207.47 | 20 |
| Aug ’23 | Mex$311.62 | Mex$344.62 +10.6% | 30.8% | Mex$651.96 | Mex$203.74 | Mex$226.00 | 20 |
| Jul ’23 | Mex$228.83 | Mex$371.57 +62.4% | 26.7% | Mex$653.31 | Mex$240.91 | Mex$259.50 | 23 |
| Jun ’23 | Mex$265.36 | Mex$365.05 +37.6% | 25.4% | Mex$629.81 | Mex$232.24 | Mex$211.01 | 23 |
| May ’23 | Mex$289.70 | Mex$407.49 +40.7% | 23.6% | Mex$653.08 | Mex$265.31 | Mex$212.30 | 21 |
| Apr ’23 | Mex$331.00 | Mex$422.73 +27.7% | 20.0% | Mex$596.73 | Mex$258.58 | Mex$226.00 | 21 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.