Stock Analysis

HSBC Bank Malta's (MTSE:HSB) 34% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same three-year period

MTSE:HSB
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By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, HSBC Bank Malta p.l.c. (MTSE:HSB) shareholders have seen the share price rise 94% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (5.3%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 45% in the last year, including dividends.

Since the stock has added €47m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for HSBC Bank Malta

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, HSBC Bank Malta achieved compound earnings per share growth of 125% per year. The average annual share price increase of 25% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 6.44.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
MTSE:HSB Earnings Per Share Growth June 19th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on HSBC Bank Malta's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for HSBC Bank Malta the TSR over the last 3 years was 138%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that HSBC Bank Malta has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 45% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 4% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for HSBC Bank Malta that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: HSBC Bank Malta may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Maltese exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HSBC Bank Malta is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HSBC Bank Malta is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com