New Risk • 20h
New major risk - Financial position The company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 18% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (18% operating cash flow to total debt). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 2.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Announcement • Apr 30
Risma, Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2026 Risma, Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2026. Location: casablanca Morocco New Risk • Apr 19
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2025. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (69% net debt to equity). Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2025 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. New Risk • Mar 02
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 6.0% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (69% net debt to equity). Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (146% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.0% average weekly change). Price Target Changed • Dec 25
Price target increased by 85% to د.م421 Up from د.م228, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 7.9% above last closing price of د.م390. Stock is up 71% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of د.م15.10 for next year compared to د.م12.77 last year. New Risk • Oct 02
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 10% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 10% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks High level of debt (69% net debt to equity). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Announcement • Jun 03
Risma, Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2025 Risma, Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2025. New Risk • May 19
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 14% Last year net profit margin: 21% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (64% net debt to equity). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (14% net profit margin). New Risk • Apr 15
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2024. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.0x net interest cover). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 9.8% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2024 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. New Risk • Mar 27
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 9.8% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.0x net interest cover). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 9.8% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. New Risk • Feb 28
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 5.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.0x net interest cover). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.6% average weekly change). Price Target Changed • Feb 24
Price target decreased by 12% to د.م228 Down from د.م258, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 24% below last closing price of د.م300. Stock is up 32% over the past year. The company posted earnings per share of د.م17.03 last year. Price Target Changed • Dec 25
Price target decreased by 12% to د.م228 Down from د.م258, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of د.م226. Stock is up 11% over the past year. The company posted earnings per share of د.م17.03 last year. New Risk • Oct 14
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 33% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.0x net interest cover). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 33% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Reported Earnings • Oct 02
First half 2024 earnings released First half 2024 results: Revenue: د.م597.0m (flat on 1H 2023). Net income: د.م75.0m (down 8.8% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 13% (down from 14% in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 3.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Africa. Upcoming Dividend • Jul 11
Upcoming dividend of د.م6.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 18 July 2024. Payment date: 29 July 2024. Trailing yield: 2.5%. Lower than top quartile of Moroccan dividend payers (4.4%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.4%). Announcement • May 24
Risma, Annual General Meeting, Jun 20, 2024 Risma, Annual General Meeting, Jun 20, 2024. Location: casablanca Morocco New Risk • May 13
New major risk - Financial position The company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 2.1x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Reported Earnings • May 04
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: د.م17.04 (vs د.م10.62 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: د.م17.04 (up from د.م10.62 in FY 2022). Revenue: د.م1.17b (up 13% from FY 2022). Net income: د.م244.1m (up 61% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 21% (up from 15% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 115% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 36% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. New Risk • Apr 14
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (17% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2023 fiscal period end). Reported Earnings • Oct 01
First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: د.م5.74 (vs د.م2.11 in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: EPS: د.م5.74 (up from د.م2.11 in 1H 2022). Revenue: د.م593.8m (up 39% from 1H 2022). Net income: د.م82.2m (up 172% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 14% (up from 7.1% in 1H 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 83% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 32% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. New Risk • Aug 06
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 5.0% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.0% average weekly change). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 04
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to د.م215, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 20.2x. Average trailing P/E is 10x in the Hospitality industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 140% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 12
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to د.م145, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 13.7x. Average trailing P/E is 12x in the Hospitality industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 84% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Nov 16
Price target decreased to د.م150 Down from د.م258, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 35% above last closing price of د.م111. Stock is up 0.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of د.م3.50 next year compared to a net loss per share of د.م11.99 last year. Reported Earnings • Oct 02
First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: د.م2.11 (vs د.م8.88 loss in 1H 2021) First half 2022 results: EPS: د.م2.11 (up from د.م8.88 loss in 1H 2021). Revenue: د.م426.7m (up 110% from 1H 2021). Net income: د.م30.2m (up د.م157.5m from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 7.1% (up from net loss in 1H 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Global Hospitality industry. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 58 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Price Target Changed • Apr 27
Price target decreased to د.م160 Down from د.م258, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 40% above last closing price of د.م114. Stock is up 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of د.م11.10 next year compared to a net loss per share of د.م21.14 last year. Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 10
New 90-day low: د.م105 The company is down 4.0% from its price of د.م110 on 09 December 2020. The Moroccan market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Hospitality industry, which is up 3.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 12
New 90-day high: د.م114 The company is up 26% from its price of د.م90.46 on 11 September 2020. The Moroccan market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Hospitality industry, which is up 4.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 12
New 90-day high: د.م98.38 The company is up 18% from its price of د.م83.19 on 13 August 2020. The Moroccan market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Hospitality industry, which is down 3.0% over the same period.