Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. Having said that, after a brief look, SES (BDL:SESGL) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for SES, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.04 = €427m ÷ (€13b - €2.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
So, SES has an ROCE of 4.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Media industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for SES
In the above chart we have measured SES' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for SES.
What Can We Tell From SES' ROCE Trend?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at SES. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 6.3% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect SES to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's unfortunate that SES is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 50% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with SES (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
While SES isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BDL:SESGL
SES
Provides satellite-based data transmission capacity and ancillary services worldwide.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.
