Aperam Valuation

Is APAM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APAM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: APAM (€28.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€42.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APAM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APAM?

Key metric: As APAM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for APAM. This is calculated by dividing APAM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is APAM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.1x
Earnings€289.00m
Market Cap€2.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does APAM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for APAM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.1x
2027 Ta Chen Stainless Pipe
26.9x82.9%NT$73.9b
WS Worthington Steel
17.6x7.7%US$2.2b
601969 Hainan Mining
19.7x15.1%CN¥13.6b
600456 Baoji Titanium Industry
28.3x18.8%CN¥14.5b
APAM Aperam
7.1x7.6%€2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does APAM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
APAM 7.1xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APAM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APAM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate APAM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APAM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.30
€31.89
+12.7%
16.4%€42.00€22.50n/a10
Nov ’25€24.82
€30.63
+23.4%
16.3%€42.00€21.40n/a10
Oct ’25€28.14
€30.76
+9.3%
16.1%€42.00€22.60n/a10
Sep ’25€25.46
€30.73
+20.7%
16.9%€42.00€22.60n/a9
Aug ’25€26.02
€30.34
+16.6%
16.9%€42.00€22.60n/a9
Jul ’25€24.62
€30.66
+24.5%
16.0%€42.00€24.00n/a9
Jun ’25€26.34
€30.54
+16.0%
15.9%€42.00€24.00n/a9
May ’25€27.44
€29.63
+8.0%
16.5%€42.00€25.00n/a9
Apr ’25€29.33
€30.73
+4.8%
16.5%€43.00€26.00n/a9
Mar ’25€27.56
€30.36
+10.2%
17.0%€43.00€25.00n/a10
Feb ’25€28.78
€30.50
+6.0%
19.0%€45.00€25.00n/a10
Jan ’25€32.88
€30.77
-6.4%
19.4%€45.00€24.70n/a10
Dec ’24€31.00
€30.00
-3.2%
21.7%€45.00€20.00n/a10
Nov ’24€26.30
€29.00
+10.3%
23.3%€45.00€20.00€24.8210
Oct ’24€27.60
€30.28
+9.7%
23.4%€45.00€19.50€28.1411
Sep ’24€26.42
€32.84
+24.3%
22.1%€47.00€22.70€25.4611
Aug ’24€28.38
€33.48
+18.0%
21.4%€47.00€22.70€26.0211
Jul ’24€28.58
€36.26
+26.9%
18.0%€52.00€29.00€24.6211
Jun ’24€30.77
€37.79
+22.8%
18.1%€52.00€29.00€26.3410
May ’24€33.36
€38.78
+16.2%
19.6%€53.00€29.00€27.4410
Apr ’24€34.40
€39.67
+15.3%
17.9%€53.00€29.00€29.3310
Mar ’24€37.23
€39.34
+5.7%
19.0%€53.00€29.00€27.569
Feb ’24€35.92
€37.02
+3.1%
23.2%€53.00€28.00€28.789
Jan ’24€29.49
€34.60
+17.3%
25.9%€52.00€26.00€32.8810
Dec ’23€29.66
€34.11
+15.0%
26.6%€52.00€25.00€31.0010
Nov ’23€27.05
€35.51
+31.3%
32.1%€58.00€25.00€26.3010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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