AB Ignitis grupe Valuation

Is IGN1L undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IGN1L when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IGN1L (€19.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€33.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IGN1L is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IGN1L?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

IGN1L key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5x
PEG Ratio-0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IGN1L's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IGN1L vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
LGD1L Litgrid
6.9xn/a€370.7m
540565 India Grid Trust
32.2xn/a₹121.8b
9505 Hokuriku Electric Power
4.3x-13.9%JP¥210.5b
600509 Xinjiang Tianfu Energy
19.3x32.4%CN¥9.8b
IGN1L AB Ignitis grupe
4.2x-11.1%€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IGN1L is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.2x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IGN1L's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IGN1L is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.2x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IGN1L's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IGN1L PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IGN1L's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IGN1L forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.16
€28.53
+48.9%
11.3%€31.10€24.00n/a3
Oct ’25€18.70
€28.53
+52.6%
11.3%€31.10€24.00n/a3
Sep ’25€18.48
€28.53
+54.4%
11.3%€31.10€24.00n/a3
Aug ’25€18.72
€28.03
+49.8%
10.6%€31.10€24.00n/a3
Jul ’25€18.30
€28.03
+53.2%
10.6%€31.10€24.00n/a3
Jun ’25€18.18
€27.87
+53.3%
10.5%€31.10€24.00n/a3
May ’25€18.40
€27.87
+51.4%
10.5%€31.10€24.00n/a3
Apr ’25€18.60
€27.55
+48.1%
12.9%€31.10€24.00n/a2
Mar ’25€18.68
€27.55
+47.5%
12.9%€31.10€24.00n/a2
Feb ’25€18.96
€27.55
+45.3%
12.9%€31.10€24.00n/a2
Jan ’25€18.84
€27.55
+46.2%
12.9%€31.10€24.00n/a2
Dec ’24€19.20
€27.55
+43.5%
12.9%€31.10€24.00n/a2
Nov ’24€19.82
€27.55
+39.0%
12.9%€31.10€24.00€19.282
Oct ’24€20.70
€27.55
+33.1%
12.9%€31.10€24.00€18.702
Sep ’24€20.20
€25.55
+26.5%
21.7%€31.10€20.00€18.482
Aug ’24€20.25
€25.55
+26.2%
21.7%€31.10€20.00€18.722
Jul ’24€20.15
€25.55
+26.8%
21.7%€31.10€20.00€18.302
Jun ’24€20.70
€24.70
+19.3%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€18.182
May ’24€20.75
€24.70
+19.0%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€18.402
Apr ’24€20.30
€24.70
+21.7%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€18.602
Mar ’24€20.40
€24.70
+21.1%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€18.682
Feb ’24€19.40
€24.70
+27.3%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€18.962
Jan ’24€19.02
€24.70
+29.9%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€18.842
Dec ’23€19.38
€24.70
+27.5%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€19.202
Nov ’23€18.30
€24.70
+35.0%
19.0%€29.40€20.00€19.822

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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