Ceylon Grain Elevators PLC

COSE:GRAN.N0000 Stock Report

Market Cap: LK₨11.5b

Ceylon Grain Elevators Valuation

Is GRAN.N0000 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRAN.N0000 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRAN.N0000 (LKR192.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (LKR2139.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRAN.N0000 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRAN.N0000?

Key metric: As GRAN.N0000 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRAN.N0000. This is calculated by dividing GRAN.N0000's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRAN.N0000's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsLK₨2.48b
Market CapLK₨11.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRAN.N0000's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRAN.N0000 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.1x
NAMU.N0000 Namunukula Plantations
5.4xn/aLK₨8.6b
LMF.N0000 Lanka Milk Foods (CWE)
8.7xn/aLK₨13.0b
HARI.N0000 Harischandra Mills
44.9xn/aLK₨7.8b
MAL.N0000 Malwatte Valley Plantations
49.5xn/aLK₨13.9b
GRAN.N0000 Ceylon Grain Elevators
4.7xn/aLK₨11.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRAN.N0000 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (27.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRAN.N0000's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the LK Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
GRAN.N0000 4.7xIndustry Avg. 5.9xNo. of Companies7PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRAN.N0000 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the LK Food industry average (5.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRAN.N0000's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRAN.N0000 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRAN.N0000's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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