Stock Analysis

Is Dongbang Transport Logistics (KRX:004140) Using Too Much Debt?

Published
KOSE:A004140

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Dongbang Transport Logistics Co., Ltd. (KRX:004140) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Dongbang Transport Logistics

What Is Dongbang Transport Logistics's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Dongbang Transport Logistics had ₩229.5b of debt, an increase on ₩217.2b, over one year. However, it also had ₩59.3b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩170.2b.

KOSE:A004140 Debt to Equity History June 24th 2024

How Strong Is Dongbang Transport Logistics' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dongbang Transport Logistics had liabilities of ₩267.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩193.4b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩59.3b as well as receivables valued at ₩135.2b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩266.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩160.1b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Dongbang Transport Logistics would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Dongbang Transport Logistics's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.5 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.5 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Also relevant is that Dongbang Transport Logistics has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 24% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Dongbang Transport Logistics will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Dongbang Transport Logistics recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Dongbang Transport Logistics's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Dongbang Transport Logistics commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Dongbang Transport Logistics stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Dongbang Transport Logistics you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.