Stock Analysis

Would HFR (KOSDAQ:230240) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

KOSDAQ:A230240
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that HFR, Inc. (KOSDAQ:230240) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does HFR Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, HFR had ₩67.6b of debt, up from ₩45.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₩59.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩8.30b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A230240 Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2025

How Healthy Is HFR's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HFR had liabilities of ₩71.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩30.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩59.3b in cash and ₩27.2b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩16.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, HFR has a market capitalization of ₩288.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HFR can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, HFR made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩158b, which is a fall of 22%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did HFR's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₩23b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₩29b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - HFR has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KOSDAQ:A230240

HFR

Provides digital infrastructure solutions for telco/enterprise markets in the field of wired and wireless access in South Korea.

Exceptional growth potential and fair value.