Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To HFR, Inc. (KOSDAQ:230240) With Shares Advancing 31%

KOSDAQ:A230240
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Those holding HFR, Inc. (KOSDAQ:230240) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 53% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think HFR's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Korea's Communications industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for HFR

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A230240 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

How HFR Has Been Performing

For example, consider that HFR's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on HFR will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, HFR would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 46% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 39% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 53% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that HFR's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

HFR appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of HFR revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with HFR (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of HFR's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HFR might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KOSDAQ:A230240

HFR

Provides digital infrastructure solutions for telco/enterprise markets in the field of wired and wireless access in South Korea.

Exceptional growth potential and fair value.

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