Stock Analysis

Is Namuga (KOSDAQ:190510) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSDAQ:A190510
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Namuga Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:190510) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Namuga's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Namuga had debt of ₩46.0b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₩80.8b over a year. However, it also had ₩24.1b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩21.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A190510 Debt to Equity History December 2nd 2020

A Look At Namuga's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Namuga had liabilities of ₩176.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩8.19b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩24.1b in cash and ₩66.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩94.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩145.3b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Namuga's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Namuga reported revenue of ₩499b, which is a gain of 57%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Namuga managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₩2.3b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Surprisingly, we note that it actually reported positive free cash flow of ₩9.8b and a profit of ₩3.2b. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Namuga has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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