Optimistic Investors Push KORCHIP Inc. (KOSDAQ:126730) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking

KORCHIP Inc. (KOSDAQ:126730) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Since its price has surged higher, KORCHIP's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Korea, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For instance, KORCHIP's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for KORCHIP

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on KORCHIP's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For KORCHIP?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, KORCHIP would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 53% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 65% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 33% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that KORCHIP is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

KORCHIP's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of KORCHIP revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with KORCHIP (including 2 which are significant).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KORCHIP, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.