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HANDYSOFT, Inc.'s (KOSDAQ:220180) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
HANDYSOFT, Inc. (KOSDAQ:220180) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.5% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, HANDYSOFT's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 62.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Korea, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
For instance, HANDYSOFT's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for HANDYSOFT
How Is HANDYSOFT's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as HANDYSOFT's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.4%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 60% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that HANDYSOFT is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On HANDYSOFT's P/E
The strong share price surge has got HANDYSOFT's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of HANDYSOFT revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for HANDYSOFT you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on HANDYSOFT, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if HANDYSOFT might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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