Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that WINS Co., Ltd (KOSDAQ:136540) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for WINS
What Is WINS's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that WINS had debt of ₩30.9b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₩37.4b over a year. But on the other hand it also has ₩59.5b in cash, leading to a ₩28.7b net cash position.
How Healthy Is WINS' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that WINS had liabilities of ₩39.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩2.20b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩59.5b and ₩14.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast ₩31.9b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
It's good to see that WINS has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, WINS boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that WINS has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine WINS's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. WINS may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, WINS reported free cash flow worth 8.7% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that WINS has net cash of ₩28.7b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 53% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think WINS's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for WINS you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KOSDAQ:A136540
WINS
Provides information security solutions and services in South Korea.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.