If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. Having said that, after a brief look, Sejoong (KOSDAQ:039310) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Sejoong, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.026 = ₩2.5b ÷ (₩135b - ₩40b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Sejoong has an ROCE of 2.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 8.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Sejoong
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Sejoong's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Sejoong, check out these free graphs here.
What Can We Tell From Sejoong's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Sejoong's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 12% that they were earning five years ago. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Sejoong to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a side note, Sejoong has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 30% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.The Bottom Line
In summary, it's unfortunate that Sejoong is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 27% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Sejoong does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious...
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSDAQ:A039310
Sejoong
Operates as a travel services and information technology company.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.