Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shinsung E&G Co., Ltd. (KRX:011930) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Shinsung E&G
How Much Debt Does Shinsung E&G Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shinsung E&G had debt of ₩153.2b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₩177.8b over a year. However, it does have ₩63.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩90.0b.
A Look At Shinsung E&G's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shinsung E&G had liabilities of ₩256.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩25.5b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩63.2b and ₩82.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩136.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Shinsung E&G is worth ₩590.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Shinsung E&G's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.3, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The silver lining is that Shinsung E&G grew its EBIT by 1,086% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shinsung E&G's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Shinsung E&G burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Shinsung E&G's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Shinsung E&G's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shinsung E&G (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A011930
Shinsung E&GLtd
Provides solar modules and solar systems in Korea and internationally.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.