Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Vessel Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:177350) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Vessel
What Is Vessel's Debt?
As you can see below, Vessel had ₩27.1b of debt at September 2020, down from ₩34.7b a year prior. However, it does have ₩10.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩16.3b.
A Look At Vessel's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vessel had liabilities of ₩57.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩7.87b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩10.7b as well as receivables valued at ₩858.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩53.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₩38.8b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Vessel's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Vessel made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩47b, which is a fall of 11%. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While Vessel's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩3.9b. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of ₩3.8b didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Vessel you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KOSDAQ:A177350
Vessel
Engages in the developing, manufacturing, and selling LCD and semiconductor-related equipment in South Korea, China, and Japan.
Moderate with imperfect balance sheet.