The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that WINPAC Inc. (KOSDAQ:097800) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for WINPAC
How Much Debt Does WINPAC Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that WINPAC had ₩71.0b of debt in June 2024, down from ₩81.5b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩26.1b, its net debt is less, at about ₩44.9b.
How Strong Is WINPAC's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that WINPAC had liabilities of ₩70.7b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩13.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩26.1b as well as receivables valued at ₩7.36b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩51.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
WINPAC has a market capitalization of ₩186.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since WINPAC will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, WINPAC made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩80b, which is a fall of 41%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did WINPAC's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₩22b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₩18b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for WINPAC (3 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A097800
WINPAC
Produces and sells semiconductor packaging and testing solutions in South Korea.
Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.