Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Duksan Hi MetalLtd (KOSDAQ:077360) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

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KOSDAQ:A077360

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Duksan Hi Metal Co.,Ltd (KOSDAQ:077360) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Duksan Hi MetalLtd

What Is Duksan Hi MetalLtd's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Duksan Hi MetalLtd had debt of ₩266.9b, up from ₩39.8b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₩75.4b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩191.4b.

KOSDAQ:A077360 Debt to Equity History December 18th 2024

A Look At Duksan Hi MetalLtd's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Duksan Hi MetalLtd had liabilities of ₩99.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩240.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩75.4b and ₩56.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩208.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩182.9b, we think shareholders really should watch Duksan Hi MetalLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Duksan Hi MetalLtd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.52 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Duksan Hi MetalLtd achieved a positive EBIT of ₩5.0b in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Duksan Hi MetalLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Duksan Hi MetalLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Duksan Hi MetalLtd's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Duksan Hi MetalLtd has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Duksan Hi MetalLtd (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.