Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Kolon Life Science Inc. (KOSDAQ:102940) Shares Dive 26%

KOSDAQ:A102940
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Kolon Life Science Inc. (KOSDAQ:102940) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Kolon Life Science is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.5x, considering almost half the companies in Korea's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Kolon Life Science

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A102940 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

How Has Kolon Life Science Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Kolon Life Science over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kolon Life Science, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Kolon Life Science's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kolon Life Science's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.4%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 25% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 33% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kolon Life Science's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Kolon Life Science's P/S Mean For Investors?

Kolon Life Science's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Kolon Life Science currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kolon Life Science you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kolon Life Science is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.