Stock Analysis

Amicogen, Inc. (KOSDAQ:092040) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 39%

KOSDAQ:A092040
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Amicogen, Inc. (KOSDAQ:092040) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Even after such a large jump in price, Amicogen may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Korea have P/S ratios greater than 10.9x and even P/S higher than 36x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Amicogen

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A092040 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024

What Does Amicogen's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Amicogen over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Amicogen will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Amicogen?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Amicogen's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The latest three year period has also seen a 27% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Amicogen's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Amicogen have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Amicogen revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Amicogen (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Amicogen is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.