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We're Not So Sure You Should Rely on HANBIT SOFT's (KOSDAQ:047080) Statutory Earnings
Broadly speaking, profitable businesses are less risky than unprofitable ones. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. This article will consider whether HANBIT SOFT's (KOSDAQ:047080) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.
It's good to see that over the last twelve months HANBIT SOFT made a profit of ₩1.51b on revenue of ₩50.6b. The good news is that the company managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, and also move from loss-making to profitable.
See our latest analysis for HANBIT SOFT
Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. So today we'll look at what HANBIT SOFT's cashflow and unusual items tell us about the quality of its earnings. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of HANBIT SOFT.
Examining Cashflow Against HANBIT SOFT's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
HANBIT SOFT has an accrual ratio of 0.44 for the year to September 2020. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of ₩1.51b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₩6.1b in the last year. We saw that FCF was ₩2.6b a year ago though, so HANBIT SOFT has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part. One positive for HANBIT SOFT shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by ₩5.0b, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. HANBIT SOFT had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2020. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
Our Take On HANBIT SOFT's Profit Performance
HANBIT SOFT had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that HANBIT SOFT'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in HANBIT SOFT.
Our examination of HANBIT SOFT has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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About KOSDAQ:A047080
HANBIT SOFT
Operates in the online gaming industry in South Korea and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet low.