There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Kumbi (KRX:008870) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Kumbi:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.026 = ₩6.8b ÷ (₩334b - ₩70b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Thus, Kumbi has an ROCE of 2.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Packaging industry average of 5.6%.
View our latest analysis for Kumbi
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Kumbi's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Kumbi's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Kumbi, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 2.6% from 7.0% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
Our Take On Kumbi's ROCE
In summary, Kumbi is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 8.0% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
Kumbi does come with some risks though, we found 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning...
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About KOSE:A008870
Kumbi
Manufactures and sells glass bottles, bottle caps, cosmetics, and plastic products in South Korea.
Slight and fair value.