Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Samhwa Crown & Closure Co., Ltd (KRX:004450) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Samhwa Crown & Closure
What Is Samhwa Crown & Closure's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Samhwa Crown & Closure had ₩71.8b of debt, up from ₩62.0b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₩21.7b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩50.1b.
A Look At Samhwa Crown & Closure's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Samhwa Crown & Closure had liabilities of ₩33.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩68.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩21.7b in cash and ₩20.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩59.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩74.4b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Samhwa Crown & Closure's net debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 14.0 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. We saw Samhwa Crown & Closure grow its EBIT by 4.5% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Samhwa Crown & Closure's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Samhwa Crown & Closure recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Samhwa Crown & Closure's level of total liabilities and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Samhwa Crown & Closure is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Samhwa Crown & Closure you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KOSE:A004450
Samhwa Crown & Closure
Manufactures and sells bottle caps used in the packaging of beverages, alcohol, and food in South Korea and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.