Stock Analysis
- South Korea
- /
- Chemicals
- /
- KOSE:A002380
KCC Corporation's (KRX:002380) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
There wouldn't be many who think KCC Corporation's (KRX:002380) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Chemicals industry in Korea is similar at about 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for KCC
What Does KCC's Recent Performance Look Like?
With only a limited decrease in revenue compared to most other companies of late, KCC has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the comparatively superior revenue performance to vanish, which has kept the P/S from rising. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. But at the very least, you'd be hoping the company doesn't fall back into the pack if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on KCC.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, KCC would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 19% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.2% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 26%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that KCC's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
When you consider that KCC's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for KCC you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KCC might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A002380
KCC
Provides building materials in South Korea and internationally.