Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Chunbo Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:278280) 26% Share Price Plunge

KOSDAQ:A278280
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Chunbo Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:278280) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 55% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Chunbo is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.7x, considering almost half the companies in Korea's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Chunbo

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A278280 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 13th 2024

How Chunbo Has Been Performing

Chunbo has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Chunbo's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Chunbo?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Chunbo's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 38%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 15% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 38% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.3% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Chunbo's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Chunbo's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into Chunbo shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Chunbo you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Chunbo, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.