Stock Analysis

Here's Why Home Center HoldingsLtd (KOSDAQ:060560) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KOSDAQ:A060560
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Home Center Holdings Co.,Ltd (KOSDAQ:060560) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Home Center HoldingsLtd

What Is Home Center HoldingsLtd's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Home Center HoldingsLtd had ₩123.7b in debt in June 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it does have ₩17.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩106.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A060560 Debt to Equity History November 27th 2020

A Look At Home Center HoldingsLtd's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Home Center HoldingsLtd had liabilities of ₩152.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩53.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩17.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩50.8b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩138.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩105.5b, we think shareholders really should watch Home Center HoldingsLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Home Center HoldingsLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.1, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, the silver lining was that Home Center HoldingsLtd achieved a positive EBIT of ₩5.5b in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Home Center HoldingsLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Home Center HoldingsLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

To be frank both Home Center HoldingsLtd's level of total liabilities and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Home Center HoldingsLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Home Center HoldingsLtd (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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