Subdued Growth No Barrier To SK Innovation Co., Ltd. (KRX:096770) With Shares Advancing 25%

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. (KRX:096770) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think SK Innovation's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Korea's Oil and Gas industry is similar at about 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for SK Innovation

What Does SK Innovation's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, SK Innovation's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SK Innovation will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

SK Innovation's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.7% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 82% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 0.4%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that SK Innovation is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

SK Innovation's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It appears that SK Innovation currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for SK Innovation that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of SK Innovation's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.